绿茶餐厅港股终局之战：四年五次IPO背后的“翻台率焦虑”与资本困局

Core Viewpoint - The prolonged IPO attempts of Green Tea Restaurant reflect not only the survival anxiety of a single enterprise but also the collective transformation pain of the entire Chinese dining industry after the decline of traffic dividends [1][3][10]. Company Overview - Green Tea Restaurant has made four unsuccessful attempts to go public since March 2021, indicating a unique persistence in the Hong Kong dining sector [3]. - The restaurant was once a popular brand among young consumers, achieving a peak daily table turnover rate of 6-8 times per store, but has since seen a significant decline in customer traffic and profitability [1][3]. Financial Performance - The table turnover rate dropped from 3.48 times in March 2018 to 2.81 times in 2022, with a slight recovery to 3.30 times in 2023, before falling again to 3.00 times in 2024 [4][5]. - The average customer spending decreased from 62.9 RMB in 2022 to 56.2 RMB in 2024, indicating challenges in maintaining profitability amid rising costs [5][6]. Market Position and Competition - Compared to competitors like Haidilao and Jiumaojiu, Green Tea's brand positioning appears vague, lacking a distinct competitive edge [3]. - The restaurant's reliance on a single business model has made it difficult to sustain high growth expectations, prompting the need for diversification into areas like retail and delivery [6][10]. IPO and Shareholder Dynamics - Approximately 30% of the shares offered in the IPO were from existing shareholders, indicating a lack of confidence in the company's future prospects [7][9]. - The same-store sales declined by 10.3% in 2024, suggesting that growth is primarily driven by new store openings rather than improving existing store efficiency [9]. Industry Context - The dining industry has faced significant challenges, including the pandemic, consumer downgrade, and the rise of prepared food, leading to a reevaluation of investment strategies [3][10]. - The shift in investor focus from scale to metrics like single-store profitability and supply chain management reflects a broader trend in the capital market [9][10].