Core Viewpoint - The market is witnessing a shift in perception towards third-party instant delivery platforms, with SF Express (顺丰同城) emerging as a key beneficiary amidst the competitive landscape of food delivery giants like JD, Meituan, and Alibaba [1][2] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The ongoing battle for the instant retail market, initially focused on food delivery, has revealed two main issues: the inability of self-owned logistics from platforms to meet diverse delivery demands and the need for merchants to avoid being tied to a single delivery platform [2] - SF Express, as a neutral third-party delivery platform, is positioned to capitalize on these challenges by providing services across multiple platforms, thus enhancing operational efficiency for merchants [2] Group 2: Competitive Landscape - The market for neutral logistics has been disrupted in 2024, with Dada Group being privatized by JD and Flash Delivery facing significant losses, highlighting the scarcity of leading third-party players [3] - In contrast, SF Express has demonstrated strong and sustained profitability, with a 27% year-on-year revenue increase to 15.7 billion yuan and a doubling of net profit, solidifying its position as the only consistently profitable player in the sector [3] Group 3: Future Outlook - The stock performance of SF Express reflects a market re-evaluation of the value of third-party instant delivery services, driven by the increasing demand for multi-scenario fulfillment and the company's strong brand presence [3] - Analysts predict continued growth for SF Express, with expectations of increased revenue in 2025 and 2026, supported by a 40% year-on-year increase in daily usage of its rider platform [4]
外卖大战下顺丰同城迎价值重估，中金目标价13.5港元