华夏时评:当国内大循环成为战略立足点
Hua Xia Shi Bao·2025-05-17 09:22

Core Viewpoint - The recent US-China trade negotiations have led to unexpected outcomes, with both sides agreeing to significant tariff reductions, creating a temporary window of opportunity for manufacturers and exporters [2][3]. Group 1: Trade Negotiations - The US has canceled 91% of tariffs on Chinese goods and modified 34% of additional tariffs, with 24% of these tariffs suspended for 90 days, while retaining 10% [2]. - China has reciprocated by canceling 91% of its retaliatory tariffs on US goods and suspending 24% of the 34% retaliatory tariffs for 90 days, keeping 10% in place [2]. - The negotiations have sparked a "rush to export," raising concerns about shipping capacity amid increased order expectations [2]. Group 2: Domestic Economic Strategy - The Chinese government emphasizes strengthening the domestic circulation to counter international uncertainties, aiming for stable and high-quality economic growth [4]. - The focus on "dual circulation" aims to reduce reliance on foreign trade and enhance the domestic market, which has become increasingly relevant given the current international climate [4]. - Key strategies include efficient resource allocation, deep integration of technological and industrial innovation, and ensuring a balanced supply-demand dynamic [5]. Group 3: Future Economic Outlook - The government plans to support foreign trade enterprises while boosting domestic consumption and investment to stabilize employment [5]. - The long-term goal is to establish China as the largest consumer market globally, despite challenges ahead [5]. - Changes in expectations for export-oriented manufacturers are anticipated as the focus shifts towards enhancing domestic consumption capabilities [5].