Prediction: Taiwan Semiconductor Stock Could Surge by 129% in the Next 5 Years

Core Viewpoint - Taiwan Semiconductor (TSMC) is expected to outperform the market significantly over the next five years, with an estimated 129% gain driven by strong management insights and technological advancements [2][6][13] Company Overview - TSMC is the world's largest chip foundry, serving major tech companies like Apple and Nvidia, which rely on TSMC for manufacturing their chips [4] - The company is recognized for its cutting-edge technology, currently producing 3nm chips and working towards 2nm and 1.6nm chips [5] Growth Projections - TSMC's management anticipates AI-related revenue to grow at a 45% compound annual growth rate (CAGR), with overall revenue expected to approach a 20% CAGR [6] - By the end of 2024, TSMC's revenue is projected to reach $90.1 billion, potentially rising to$206 billion with an 18% growth rate [6][7] Investment and Production Strategy - TSMC has announced a $100 billion investment to enhance manufacturing capabilities in the U.S., which is expected to secure its position as a sole source supplier for many clients [8][9] - This investment will not immediately impact TSMC's income statement, as expenses will be recognized through depreciation over time [10] Profitability and Valuation - While TSMC's profit margins may experience a temporary dip due to increased operating expenses from hiring staff, margins are expected to return to current levels by the end of the five-year period [11] - TSMC's stock is trading at its five-year average price-to-earnings (P/E) level, indicating it is not overpriced and future growth is likely to stem from demand rather than earnings expansion [11][13]