Trefis: TSM Stock Insights The recent escalation in the Iran War has triggered a spike in oil prices (read Where Will Oil Prices Be On March 31?), putting high-growth tech under pressure. However, this presents an interesting trade opportunity in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM). The current macro volatility acts as a direct stress test on TSM's supply chain. Chipmaking remains highly exposed to petroleum shocks. Critical inputs like sulfuric acid are oil-derived, and crude spikes inflate LNG pri ...

12 March 2026 European Chemicals & Global Semiconductors Global Industrial Gases & Semis: Assessing the helium impact James Hooper +44 20 7676 6995 james.hooper@bernsteinsg.com Mark Li +852 2123 2645 mark.li@bernsteinsg.com Stacy A. Rasgon, Ph.D. +1 213 559 5917 stacy.rasgon@bernsteinsg.com David Dai, CFA +852 2918 5704 david.dai@bernsteinsg.com Qingyuan Lin, Ph.D. +852 2123 2654 qingyuan.lin@bernsteinsg.com Yipin Cai, CFA +852 2123 2669 yipin.cai@bernsteinsg.com We have recieved many inbounds on the impact ...

国芯网[原:中国半导体论坛] 振兴国产半导体产业！ 不拘中国、 放眼世界 ！ 关注 世界半导体论坛 ↓ ↓ ↓ 3月16日消息，据 调研机构TrendForce日前发布的2025年全球TOP10晶圆代工榜单，台积电依然是毫无争议 的第一，而且份额占了全球 70%。 TrendForce指出，2025年全球晶圆代工行业产值合计1695亿美元，同比增长了26.3%，不过今年的情况有些复杂，上半年有厂商提前备货的需求，产能保 持稳定，但下半年受限于存储芯片涨价，需求有下降的可能，导致芯片代工行业的产能有隐忧。 具体来看厂商方面，台积电依然是第一，在这个榜单上无人能撼动他们的地位，以1225.4亿美元的营收遥遥领先，而且市场占有率还在提升，从2024年的 64.4%提升到69.9%，实际上Q3、Q4季度旺季时都超过了70%，今年全年都超过70%应该没啥问题。 台积电的优势也不用多说了，先进工艺上吃下全球最大的份额，3nm不论是移动芯片还是AI芯片都供不应求，今年还有2nm工艺助力。 其实还有个事实要注意，哪怕是成熟工艺的28nm，台积电的市场份额也还是最多的，全年营收贡献85.7亿美元，营收占比7%。 第二名是三星， ...

如果您希望可以时常见面，欢迎标星收藏哦~ 《Chosun Biz》16日报导，随着台积电在芯片代工领域的市占率扩大领先三星，全球半导体供应 链加剧集中台湾，分析师指出，先进芯片生产极大比例绑定台湾的结构，越来越根深蒂固，韩国一 名业界主管说，「台积电已超越单纯的制造商，实际成为制程标准与价格的制定者」。 报导指出，根据市调公司集邦科技（TrendForce）的数据，去年第4季台积电在代工市场的市占率 达70.4%，稳坐龙头，排名第二的三星电子市占率7.2%，两家公司的差距扩大至63.2个百分点，创 最大纪录。 台积电力求巩固与对手的「超级差距」（ultra-gap），其计划2026年资本支出达520亿至560亿美 元，而除了投资先进制程，台积电也将大幅扩大CoWoS封装产能。 台积电的独占鳌头引发全球政策制定者的警告，美国财政部长贝森特在今年初的世界经济论坛上表 示 ， 「 全 球 面 临 最 大 的 单 点 故 障 （ single point of failure ） 就 是 97% 的 高 阶 芯 片 集 中 在 台 湾 生 产」，意指供应链集中的风险。所谓「单点故障」是指系统中的某一部分故障，导致整体 ...

大摩闭门会：中国 AI GPU 前景展望以及台积电最新资本 支出预期; 上调阿里巴巴为互联网首选 260312_原文 2026 年 03 月 13 日 17:25 发言人 00:00 各位上午好，今天是 3 月 13 日星期五，欢迎来到摩根森周五的新经济板块热点前三在线直播。我是查理， 请注意本次的会议内容与您的问题将会被录音。在本次视频直播中我将会与 dac 以及 john 一起讨论最新的 两个趋势。 发言人 00:24 一个是中国 AI 的前景。Gary 的团队最近上调阿里巴巴成为互联网首选，其中一个很重要的原因就是 AIGP 国产化的推动。从我们半导体角度团队的角度来讲的话，我们也会提供一些从供应商从这个行业竞争上面 有什么样的 perspective。最后由我会再回到这个 global 的 AI 生命的手牌权。最近我们也上调了台积电 资本支出，就是说面向全球的 AI 的印刷刷式，我们还是蛮正面的。 发言人 01:06 好，我想因为九月刚好也上线了，那我们是不是还是从 90 开始？因为先讲一下这个客户端终端的需求的情 况，然后 dac 再讲一下怎么悲伤 china 和 AIKP 要形成我们对地面的看法。 ...

The Great AI Silicon Shortage AI 芯片大短缺 TSMC N3 Wafer Shortages, Memory Constraints, Datacenter Bottlenecks, Supply Chain Wars Winner 台积电 N3 晶圆短缺、内存限制、数据中心瓶颈、供应链战争赢家 IVAN CHIAM, MYRON XIE, RAY WANG, AND 3 OTHERS IVAN CHIAM、MYRON XIE、RAY WANG 以及其他 3 位作者 MAR 12, 2026 2026 年 3 月 12 日 ∙ PAID ∙ 付费内容 19 1 Share 分享 SemiAnalysis x Fluidstack Hackathon SemiAnalysis x Fluidstack 黑客松 We're hosting a hackathon ahead of GTC this year on Sunday the 15th, in partnership with Fluidstack, and would love to have you join us! ...

行政院已核定沙仑生态科学园区开发计画，规划全期土地面积为531公顷，完成后产值为2兆2,547亿 元，提供就业机会达3.5万人。 沙仑生态科学园区因开发范围涉及草鸮栖地，引发环保团体关注。 国科会南科管理局长郑秀绒表示，南科已先收集各界意见，并对外沟通，环保团体特别关切栖地破碎 化问题，园区开发规划已进一步优化。 她说，优化方案不仅单纯计算保留多少绿地或草生地，且更重视生态空间的完整性，例如滞洪池周边 森林等，将尽可能极大化保留，以降低对草鸮栖地影响。 近期南科管理局先透过专家会议及工作小组会议，广泛听取关心草鸮的学者与环保团体意见。相关讨 论成果与资料，目前已公开在南科管理局官网，供外界查阅。 公众号记得加星标⭐️，第一时间看推送不会错过。 市场传台积电1.2纳米制程预定地的沙仑生态科学园区，原订2025年底送交环评，因园区开发范围涉 及保育类猛禽草鸮栖地，国科会南科管理局已先行收集各界意见、并对外沟通，预估今年4月提出环 境影响说明书送交环境部。 年。根据估算，四座工厂首年合计将为台积电带来160 亿美元的营收，同时还将创造8000 至1 万个 就业机会。 目前尚未披露哪些客户打算采用台积电1.4 纳米制 ...

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) as a key player poised to join the $2 trillion market cap club, benefiting from the increasing demand for artificial intelligence and advanced chip manufacturing [1][2][3]. Group 1: Market Position and Growth - TSMC is the largest contract chip manufacturer globally, accounting for nearly 70% of spending by major companies like Nvidia and Apple, with Samsung trailing at only 7% [5]. - TSMC's market share is expected to grow further due to its technological lead, with its 2nm process entering mass production by the end of 2025 [6]. - The company has raised prices on its advanced chipmaking processes by 3% to 10% starting in 2026, indicating strong pricing power and demand visibility through 2029 [9][10]. Group 2: Financial Performance and Projections - TSMC's stock reached a market cap of $1.8 trillion, up 97% over the past year, with expectations to surpass the $2 trillion mark soon [3]. - Management projects a 30% revenue growth in 2026, with a compound annual growth rate of 25% from 2025 to 2029, suggesting robust financial performance [11][12]. - The company anticipates earnings growth to outpace revenue growth due to strong demand for its 3nm and 2nm processes [13]. Group 3: Strategic Investments - TSMC plans to invest between $52 billion and $56 billion in capital expenditures this year, up from $40.9 billion last year, focusing on new facilities in Arizona to mitigate geopolitical risks [10]. - The company’s conservative outlook historically suggests potential for further upside in its financial projections [12]. - TSMC's ability to maintain high gross margins while ramping up next-generation processes positions it favorably for future growth [13].

分析师指出:"长期中断可能对支持芯片晶圆制造所需的稳定能源供应构成风险。"报告还强调了风险的集中性,因为仅 台积电(NYSE:TSM) 一家就 制造了全球90%的先进芯片,并消耗中国台湾总电力的约9-10%。 分析师认为,眼前的现实可能表现为成本的大幅上涨,而非完全停产。他们表示"这是一个值得关注的风险,关系到全球科技和AI芯片供应。"任何电 力波动都可能对全球AI和智能手机处理器供应产生直接连锁反应。 "硫磺短缺"与二阶中断 除了电力之外,报告还指出了一个不太明显但同样关键的风险:硫酸短缺。硫磺是石油精炼的副产品,目前在海湾地区陷入停滞,对于提取铜和钴等 金属至关重要,这些金属广泛用于芯片组件和电气化领域。 随着霍尔木兹海峡的关闭威胁到先进芯片制造所需的能源和化学原料供应,全球半导体供应链正面临一个新的危险瓶颈。根据摩根士丹利最新发布的"科技 简报"报告,这一中断对该板块构成双重威胁: 中国台湾晶圆代工厂即将面临的" 液化天然气 悬崖",以及可能破坏关键电池和芯片材料生产的"硫磺短缺"。 中国台湾的液化天然气储备与11天倒计时 全球科技行业的首要担忧仍然是中国台湾电网的稳定性,该电网严重依赖液化天然气(LN ...

Core Viewpoint - AI stocks are currently undervalued compared to late 2025, presenting solid buying opportunities as AI spending is expected to continue growing for many years [1] Group 1: Nvidia - Nvidia is the industry leader in AI, maintaining its dominance since 2023 with continuous innovation and premium pricing for its platform [3] - Current market cap is $4.4 trillion, with a stock price of $180.28, down 1.56% today [4] - Nvidia's Q4 2025 growth rate was 73%, with management expecting 77% growth in the next quarter, trading at 22 times forward earnings, indicating it is a strong buy [5] Group 2: Broadcom - Broadcom is positioning itself to challenge Nvidia by designing custom chips optimized for specific workloads, offering a more efficient and cost-effective solution [6] - The company expects its AI division to generate $100 billion in revenue by the end of 2027, which could dominate its overall business, currently making up less than half of its $68 billion total revenue [8] Group 3: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing - Taiwan Semiconductor is a key player in the AI sector, manufacturing most logic chips for high-end devices, benefiting from increased spending on data centers by AI hyperscalers [9][10] Group 4: Microsoft - Microsoft has seen a 25% decline from its all-time high but is now trading at some of its lowest valuations in a decade, presenting a buying opportunity [11][13] Group 5: Alphabet - Alphabet has transitioned from an AI underperformer to a leader, with its stock price reflecting this recovery, currently trading at a premium of 26 times forward earnings [14] - The Google Cloud business has shown significant growth, with a 48% year-over-year revenue increase, indicating strong demand for its computing resources [16]