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Near a 52-Week Low, Here's Why This 4.8%-Yielding Dividend Stock Is a Top Buy for Passive Income
CVXChevron(CVX) The Motley Fool·2025-05-17 11:45

Core Viewpoint - Chevron is positioned as an excellent dividend stock for passive income investors, despite a recent decline in stock price and low oil prices [1][3][13] Financial Performance - Chevron's stock has fallen approximately 16% from its 52-week high, which occurred less than two months ago [1] - Brent crude oil prices are at multi-year lows, impacting Chevron's margins and leading to lower revenue and earnings growth [3] - The company has become more efficient, with expected incremental free cash flow (FCF) of 9billionby2026ataBrentpriceof9 billion by 2026 at a Brent price of 60 per barrel [5] Operational Efficiency - Chevron has the lowest upstream breakeven in its peer group, around the low 30perbarrelBrentrange,outperformingcompetitorslikeExxonMobilandShell[6]Thecompanyanticipatesa5030-per-barrel Brent range, outperforming competitors like ExxonMobil and Shell [6] - The company anticipates a 50% increase in Gulf Coast production by 2026, driven by the expansion of its deepwater Anchor project [7] Shareholder Returns - Chevron has consistently executed stock buybacks, with 11.26 billion in 2022, 14.94billionin2023,and14.94 billion in 2023, and 15.23 billion planned for 2024 [8] - The company plans to spend 2.5billionto2.5 billion to 3 billion on buybacks in the second quarter of 2024, while maintaining a strong cash return to shareholders [9] - Chevron's quarterly dividend expenditure is around $3 billion, with a 38-year history of increasing dividends, resulting in a yield of 4.8% [10][11] Financial Health - The company's debt ratio stands at 14.4%, which is below its target range of 20% to 25%, indicating a strong balance sheet [12] Investment Outlook - Chevron is viewed as a reliable dividend stock with a strong track record, capable of generating high FCF and supporting future buybacks and dividend increases [13][14]