Chevron Corp. (CVX) outlined a sustainable cash flow plan during its November 12 Investor Day that implies a potentially sizable dividend hike. It has averaged 7% over the 25 years, outperforming rivals. Even with a 5% hike in January, CVX stock looks undervalued. CVX closed at $149.98 on Friday, Nov. 21, 2025, near a recent low of $148.90 on Oct. 10. Moreover, it's well off recent peaks of $160.72 on Sept. 25 and $161.83 on Sept. 2. More News from Barchart CVX stock - last 3 months - Barchart - As of No ...

Group 1 - Chevron Corporation and TotalEnergies SE are leading bidders for a 40% operating stake in Galp Energia's Mopane complex, with an announcement expected by year-end [1] - The Mopane discovery is significant, with an estimated 10 billion barrels of recoverable resources, positioning Namibia to become a top-15 oil producer in the next decade [2] - Namibia has no current commercial hydrocarbon production, but recent discoveries in the Orange Basin have made it a sought-after exploration frontier [3] Group 2 - The Mopane field's scale and strategic location have attracted interest from major companies, including ExxonMobil and Shell, although competition remains intense after some companies exited the bidding [4] - Chevron aims to revitalize its exploration portfolio and views Mopane as a potential anchor asset following mixed drilling results in the Orange Basin [5] - TotalEnergies operates the nearby Venus project, and developing Mopane could provide operational synergies, making Namibia a key focus for its growth plans amid challenges in other African projects [6] Group 3 - The competition between TotalEnergies and Chevron will significantly influence Namibia's energy future, determining the pace and structure of its emergence as a global oil supplier [7] - Securing the Mopane stake will position either company prominently in one of the world's promising new oil provinces [8]

Core Viewpoint - Chevron's focus on profits over production may lead to steady gains in the coming years despite current challenges in the oil industry [1][2]. Financial Performance - Chevron reported Q3 2025 results showing year-over-year declines in revenue and net income, with revenue at $49.73 billion (down 1.9% from $50.7 billion in Q3 2024) and net income at $3.5 billion (down 22.2% from $4.5 billion) [3]. - Earnings per share (EPS) decreased to $1.82, a 26.6% decline from $2.48 in the previous year [3]. - The company's production increased by 21% to 4.1 million barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) daily, contributing to better-than-expected results [3]. Strategic Focus - Chevron's new agenda emphasizes stronger cash flow and growing value, with plans to modestly increase annual production by 2%-3% while reducing capital expenditures by approximately $1 billion [6]. - Cost-cutting measures could save Chevron up to $4 billion annually by 2026 [7]. - The company is also pursuing new growth opportunities, including a gas power plant in Texas aimed at supplying energy for AI data centers [7]. Cash Flow and Returns - Chevron anticipates a 10% annual increase in cash flow from now until 2030, with a significant portion of this growth returned to investors through share repurchases and dividends [8]. - The company has a strong dividend growth track record, with 37 consecutive years of dividend increases, and a current forward dividend yield of around 4.4% [9]. Valuation - Chevron is currently priced at nearly 20 times forward earnings, which is a slight premium compared to ExxonMobil, but further growth could sustain this valuation [10].

Core Insights - TotalEnergies and Chevron are the leading candidates to acquire a 40% operating stake in Galp Energia's Mopane oil discovery offshore Namibia [1][3] - The Mopane field is estimated to contain at least 10 billion barrels of oil, attracting significant interest from global energy companies [2] - Namibia aims to become a top-15 global oil producer within the next decade, despite currently having no commercial oil production [2] Company Developments - Galp plans to select a partner for the Mopane project by the end of the year, with negotiations ongoing with a shortlist of preferred bidders [3] - TotalEnergies and Chevron both operate nearby oilfields in Namibia's Orange Basin, with TotalEnergies' Venus project potentially offering synergies despite development challenges [4] - TotalEnergies' success in Namibia would enhance Africa's role in its upstream portfolio, which constitutes up to 40% of its global oil and gas output [5]

Core Viewpoint - Chevron has established itself as a leading dividend stock, having increased its dividend for 38 consecutive years, with a compound annual growth rate of 7% over the past 25 years and 5% over the last decade, despite oil price volatility [1][4]. Group 1: Dividend Growth and Financial Strength - Chevron anticipates over 10% annual growth in adjusted free cash flow and earnings per share through 2030, assuming Brent oil averages around $70 per barrel [4]. - Among the 100 largest companies in the S&P 500, only 35 expect to achieve more than 10% annual earnings per share and free cash flow growth through 2027, with Chevron being the only one in that group offering a dividend yield above 4% [5]. Group 2: Growth Drivers - Chevron's growth strategy is supported by a robust five-year plan, focusing on low-cost upstream oil and gas operations, and strategic acquisitions, including the recent acquisition of Hess [6][7]. - The company has multiple expansion projects underway, including the $6.8 billion Hammerhead project and the Longtail project expected to come online by 2030 [8].

Core Insights - TotalEnergies and Chevron are leading bidders for a 40% operating stake in the Mopane oil field in Namibia, as revealed by four sources [1] - Namibia is attracting oil companies due to significant discoveries suggesting it could become one of the world's top 15 oil producers within the next decade, despite currently not producing oil and gas [1] - The estimated resource volume of the Mopane oil field is at least 10 billion barrels, with Galp aiming to announce the winning bidder by the end of the year [1]

Core Insights - Chevron Corporation and Exxon Mobil Corporation are exploring the acquisition of Lukoil assets due to forced divestitures exceeding $20 billion amid sweeping sanctions [1][8] - The U.S. Treasury's clearance for potential buyers has intensified competition among global energy firms [1] - The geopolitical context surrounding these acquisitions is significant, as U.S. sanctions aim to pressure Moscow amid the Ukraine conflict [5] Chevron's Strategic Interests - Chevron is focusing on assets with operational and geographic overlaps, particularly in Kazakhstan's Karachaganak and Tengiz fields, where it already partners with Lukoil [2] - The acquisition of additional stakes in these fields could enhance Chevron's presence in Central Asia and strengthen its upstream projects [2] Exxon's Targeted Acquisition - Exxon Mobil is particularly interested in Iraq's West Qurna 2, a major undeveloped oil field, aiming to reestablish its foothold in Iraq's energy sector [3] - A successful acquisition would represent one of Exxon's most significant upstream moves in the region in over a decade [3] Lukoil's Global Portfolio - Lukoil's international assets include refineries, retail stations, and oilfield stakes across Europe, Africa, and the Americas, attracting both strategic buyers and investment firms [4] - The breadth of Lukoil's portfolio presents selective opportunities for companies like Chevron and Exxon, as well as investment firms like Carlyle [4] Geopolitical Implications - The divestiture of Lukoil's assets is not only a commercial matter but also a geopolitical one, as it shifts strategic energy resources amid ongoing sanctions [5] - Countries like Iraq are seeking temporary waivers to manage the transition of these energy resources [5]

Chevron, the only major US oil company left in Venezuela, wants to remain in the sanctioned country for the long-term and sees a role in rebuilding its economy when the time is right. https://t.co/piw85butac ...

Core Insights - Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNQ) and Chevron Corporation (CVX) are significant players in the global oil market, facing different operational and market conditions [1][2] - CNQ is experiencing strong production momentum and record volumes, while Chevron is dealing with a softer macro environment and operational pressures [2][4] CNQ Overview - CNQ reported a 19% year-over-year increase in production to 1.62 million barrels of oil-equivalent per day (BOE/d) in Q3, achieving record output [8] - The company benefits from low-decline oil sands resources, with a reserve life index of 47 years, allowing for predictable cash flows [10] - CNQ's financial strength is highlighted by a BBB+ credit rating, a debt/EBITDA ratio of 0.9X, and a dividend yield of 5% [11] CVX Overview - Chevron's production grew by 21.5% in Q3, but upstream earnings fell by 28% year-over-year due to declining liquid realizations [4][7] - The company faces challenges from weakening commodity prices, with Brent projected to average $55 per barrel through 2026 [4] - Chevron's operational hurdles include rising costs from tariffs and inflation, as well as regulatory pressures in California [6] Comparative Analysis - CNQ's valuation is more favorable at a forward P/E of 15.1X compared to Chevron's 19.2X, which is significantly above its five-year average [15] - Earnings estimates for Chevron have been revised downward for 2025 and 2026, while CNQ's estimates have moved higher, indicating a divergence in earnings momentum [17][18] - CNQ is ranked 1 (Strong Buy) due to its resilient assets and favorable risk-reward profile, while Chevron holds a 4 (Sell) rank due to margin pressures and valuation risks [19]

Group 1 - TotalEnergies and Chevron are leading bidders for a 40% operating stake in Galp's Mopane field in Namibia [1]