杜特尔特狱中翻盘，小马科斯打“中国牌”失败

Core Viewpoint - The recent midterm elections in the Philippines reaffirmed the enduring political influence of the Duterte family in Davao City, despite attempts by the Marcos administration to undermine their power [1][6][12]. Group 1: Duterte's Political Legacy - Duterte has been elected mayor of Davao City for the eighth time, highlighting the family's strong political foundation in the region [1]. - The Duterte family has a long history in Davao, with Duterte's father serving as governor and Duterte himself having governed the city for over two decades before becoming president [1]. - Under Duterte's leadership, Davao City has transformed from a crime-ridden area to one of the safest cities in Southeast Asia, with significant economic development [1][2]. Group 2: Public Support and Perception - Duterte's hardline policies, particularly against drugs, have earned him a reputation as a "punisher," leading to high public approval ratings during his presidency [2][12]. - Surveys indicated that 77% of Filipinos were satisfied with Duterte's performance by December 2016, and this approval rating remained high until his term ended in 2022 [2]. - The emotional connection of the public to Duterte was evident during the midterm elections, where supporters rallied to express their loyalty and support for him [3][4][5]. Group 3: Political Dynamics and Challenges - The midterm elections showcased a significant shift in political dynamics, with the Duterte family maintaining strong support despite the Marcos administration's efforts to diminish their influence [11][12]. - The election results revealed that the Marcos administration's strategy to leverage anti-China sentiment did not resonate with voters as intended [6][9]. - The ongoing political challenges for the Marcos administration include addressing public dissatisfaction with economic issues, as indicated by rising poverty perceptions among Filipinos [10][12]. Group 4: Future Implications - The political landscape suggests that the Duterte family's influence will continue, with potential implications for future elections, including the presidential candidacy of Duterte's daughter, Sara [6][12][13]. - The outcome of the midterm elections may impact the impeachment proceedings against Sara Duterte, with her political survival linked to the support garnered by the Duterte family in the Senate [12][13].