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翁富豪:5.18技术性回调还是趋势反转?黄金下周操作策略
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-05-17 16:20

Group 1 - The international gold price experienced a decline on May 16, potentially recording the largest weekly drop in six months, primarily due to a stronger dollar and easing concerns over the US-China trade war, which diminished gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset [1] - Gold prices fell over 2% on Friday and accumulated a nearly 4% drop for the week, marking the largest weekly decline since November of the previous year, driven by increased risk appetite following trade agreement developments [1] - Market expectations for a Federal Reserve rate cut have been revised down to approximately 58 basis points by the end of the year, compared to 120 basis points during the peak of panic in April, indicating potential short-term pressure on gold prices [1] Group 2 - Despite the recent decline, gold remains in an upward trend over the long term, supported by the Federal Reserve's accommodative policies, which may continue to lower real yields [3] - The analysis suggests that while there may be short-term pullbacks, the overall trend for gold is bullish, with recommendations for trading strategies based on specific price levels [3] - Suggested trading strategies include buying on pullbacks in the 3175-3170 range with a target of 3185-3205 and selling on rebounds in the 3235-3240 range with a target of 3220-3200 [3]