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中银证券:成长主线不改,A股蓄势待催化
BOCICBOCIC(SH:601696) 智通财经网·2025-05-18 11:56

Group 1 - The short-term A-share market may lack strong upward catalysts, but the expectations for fundamental recovery and policy release have not been disproven, indicating limited downside risk [1][2] - The recent US-China Geneva trade talks resulted in a joint statement agreeing to significantly reduce bilateral tariff levels, boosting market confidence [2] - April's financial data showed that new social financing maintained a year-on-year increase trend, with the stock of social financing growing at a rate of 8.7%, suggesting an upward trend in fundamentals and A-share earnings [2][5] Group 2 - The recent US restrictions on high-end computing chips for China may temporarily impact Huawei's chip exports, but domestic demand for local computing chips is strengthening [26][30] - Huawei's Cloud Matrix 384 computing cluster has achieved performance metrics that surpass Nvidia's flagship product GB200 NVL72, marking a significant breakthrough in China's AI infrastructure [31][32] - The capital expenditure of major cloud service providers like Tencent and Alibaba has decreased significantly compared to the previous quarter, but remains above historical averages, indicating a potential shift in investment strategy [25][30] Group 3 - The recent US-China tariff negotiations have led to a recovery in industries closely related to exports, such as e-commerce, chemical fibers, and shipping ports [15] - The technology sector is showing signs of recovery, but the market consensus suggests a phase of consolidation and potential volatility ahead [17][21] - The overall industry scores indicate a high allocation recommendation for sectors like electronics, computers, and automation equipment, while sectors like real estate and coal are rated for lower allocation [33]