Core Viewpoint - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for Q1 2025, but a decline in net profit, attributed to falling electricity prices and increased depreciation costs [1][2]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 3.558 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 0.93% - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.021 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 4.44% - The decline in profit is linked to lower electricity prices and increased depreciation due to new projects [1][2]. Power Generation and Capacity - The company generated 9.905 billion kWh of electricity in Q1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 9.26% - Wind power generation was 8.921 billion kWh, up 8.57% year-on-year, while solar power generation was 984 million kWh, up 15.98% year-on-year - As of the end of 2024, the installed capacity for wind and solar power was 14.4818 million kW and 4.3645 million kW, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of 11.56% and 79.06% [1][2]. Market Conditions - The average wind speed at 10 meters nationwide in April 2025 was 0.98% higher than the same period over the past decade, contributing to a 16.68% increase in wind power generation for the month [2]. - The decline in revenue growth compared to power generation growth is attributed to lower electricity prices following the marketization of renewable energy [2]. Accounts Receivable and Valuation - Accounts receivable amounted to 23 billion yuan, approximately 1.54 times the company's current market value of 16.1 billion HKD - The receivables primarily consist of renewable energy subsidy payments, which have been a constraint on capital expenditure and dividends [3]. - The company has improved its dividend payout, with a total dividend of 0.09 yuan per share in 2024, representing 52% of the distributable profit [3]. Long-term Outlook - The company is viewed positively in the context of the wind power sector, which is expected to have higher investment value compared to solar power due to better operational efficiency and lower costs [3]. - The recent policy (Document No. 136) is seen as beneficial for existing assets, enhancing the long-term value of established wind power operators [3]. Profit Forecast - The company is projected to achieve net profits of 2.32 billion, 2.46 billion, and 2.52 billion yuan for the years 2025 to 2027, with corresponding price-to-earnings ratios of 6.5, 6.1, and 5.9 [4].
大唐新能源(01798.HK)：入市拖累短期业绩 看好风电运营商长期价值