中国订单暴涨300%！明明约定好互相减税，为何中国还是不买美国货

Group 1 - The core point of the article is the unexpected outcome of the US-China trade agreement, where China significantly increased exports to the US, but did not reciprocate with increased purchases of American goods, leading to pressure on the Trump administration [3][5][10] - Following the announcement of the tariff reduction, Chinese exports to the US surged by nearly three times, with some sectors experiencing increases of 270% to 300% in orders within three days [6][8] - The overall tariff rate dropped from 145% to 30%, but concerns remain about the potential for tariffs to be reinstated after the 90-day "honeymoon period" [8][10] Group 2 - The historical context reveals that China's previous experiences with US agricultural imports have led to a cautious approach, particularly after the 2003 soybean crisis, which highlighted the risks of over-reliance on a single source [12][16][19] - China has diversified its supply chains, focusing on South America for agricultural imports, with projections indicating that by Q1 2025, 68% of China's soybean imports will come from South America, significantly outpacing imports from the US [21][23] - Investments in agricultural technology and seed development are part of China's strategy to enhance self-sufficiency and reduce dependency on US imports, with a goal of achieving self-sufficiency in major crops by 2030 [28][30] Group 3 - The article emphasizes that the current trade dynamics are not merely about whether to buy American goods, but rather about the strategic decision of whether there is a necessity to purchase them at all, given the competitive alternatives available [26][34] - The political landscape in the US complicates trade relations, as the Trump administration's policies are influenced by domestic political pressures, making them unpredictable and less appealing for long-term partnerships [32][34] - The shifting global resource allocation and the strategic adjustments by China indicate a significant transformation in trade relationships, moving away from reliance on the US towards a more independent and diversified trade network [34][35]