海天国际(01882.HK)：营收稳健增长 全球化布局加速

Core Viewpoint - The injection molding machine industry is experiencing high demand, leading to significant revenue growth for the company in 2024, with projected revenue of 16.128 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 23.37% [1] Revenue and Profit Analysis - In 2024, the company expects to achieve a revenue of 16.128 billion yuan, with a gross profit of 5.236 billion yuan and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.08 billion yuan, reflecting year-on-year increases of 24.65% and 23.63% respectively [1] - The injection molding machine segment is projected to generate 15.405 billion yuan in revenue, up 23.77% year-on-year, while components and services are expected to contribute 723 million yuan, a 16.18% increase [2] - Domestic revenue is anticipated to reach 10.112 billion yuan, a 27.73% increase, while overseas revenue is expected to be 6.016 billion yuan, up 16.76% [2] Margin and Cost Management - The company's gross margin is projected to be 32.46%, a slight increase of 0.32 percentage points year-on-year, attributed to full order books and improved capacity utilization [3] - The company has successfully reduced its expense ratios, with a sales expense ratio of 7.91% (down 0.71 percentage points) and an administrative expense ratio of 6.43% (down 0.36 percentage points) [3] - The net cash flow from operating activities is expected to be 2.101 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.41%, indicating improved cash flow management [3] Product Development and Market Expansion - The company has accelerated new product iterations, launching a new generation of machines that enhance performance and energy efficiency, targeting both high-end and lower-tier markets [4] - The company has established a comprehensive global presence with six regional management centers, five manufacturing centers, and nine application service experience centers, positioning itself for continued overseas revenue growth [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Rating - The company has revised its net profit forecasts for 2025-2026 to 3.522 billion yuan and 3.908 billion yuan respectively, with a projected net profit of 4.294 billion yuan for 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [4]