山海：黄金大周期保持多头，需分阶段性看涨！

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the long-term trend for gold remains bullish, with significant potential for future price increases despite recent volatility [1][3][5] - Recent fluctuations in gold prices are attributed to various market uncertainties, but the overall sentiment is that short-term declines should be viewed as buying opportunities [3][5][6] - The analysis indicates that gold is expected to recover from a recent low of 3120, with targets set at 3325 and 3350 for the upcoming week [3][6] Group 2 - The previous cycle's decline in gold prices was linked to the resolution of the US-China trade agreement, which reduced safe-haven demand, but the current year is characterized as a strong year for gold [5][6] - Technical analysis shows that gold has stabilized above the 60-day moving average, indicating a shift from weakness to strength, with potential upward movement towards 3280, 3350, and 3400 [6][7] - Domestic gold futures have shown significant volatility, with a recent low of 736 and a high of 765, but the outlook remains positive with expectations of reaching 775 and 795 [7][8] Group 3 - Silver is also maintaining a bullish outlook, with expectations of trading within the 32 to 33 range, and potential for further gains if it holds above 31.5 [6][8] - The domestic silver market has seen successful trades, with profits realized from multiple positions, and the strategy remains focused on low buying opportunities [8] - The oil market is expected to continue its bullish trend, with targets set at 64 and 66, while maintaining a support level around 60.5 [8][9]