【央行圆桌汇】美联储官员再次强调“不急于降息”（2025年5月19日）

Global Central Bank Dynamics - The People's Bank of China and the Central Bank of Brazil have renewed a bilateral currency swap agreement worth 190 billion RMB / 157 billion Brazilian Reais, valid for five years with the option to extend [1] - The Federal Reserve plans to reduce its workforce by 10% over the next few years, offering voluntary resignation and deferred retirement options to eligible employees [1] - Federal Reserve Chairman Powell indicated that the Fed is considering adjustments to its monetary policy framework in response to significant changes in inflation and interest rate outlooks post-pandemic [1] - The European Central Bank's regulatory body has requested certain Eurozone banks to assess scenarios of pressure on dollar demand, reflecting concerns over the uncertainty of dollar supply under the Trump administration [2] Market Observations - Barclays Bank has revised its forecast for U.S. economic growth to 0.5% for this year and 1.6% for 2026, up from previous estimates of -0.3% and 1.5% respectively, while also raising Eurozone growth expectations to zero growth from a prior forecast of a 0.2% contraction [4] - Deutsche Bank analysts suggest that the Federal Reserve may keep policy rates unchanged until December before easing further in 2026 [4] - Goldman Sachs has increased its GDP growth forecast for South Korea in 2025 from 0.7% to 1.1%, citing government budget measures and potential fiscal stimulus as supportive factors [4]