小米YU7、自研芯片、新机“定档”，高盛：买！

Core Viewpoint - Xiaomi is launching multiple significant products, including the Xiaomi 15S Pro, Xiaomi Pad 7 Ultra, and its first SUV, the Xiaomi YU7, alongside the self-developed SoC chip, the Xiaomi Xuanjie O1, which is expected to enhance its high-end strategy [1][5][7]. Smartphone Business - Xiaomi is steadily increasing its market share in the smartphone sector, particularly in China, with a focus on high-end models [5][10]. - The introduction of the self-developed Xuanjie O1 chip, built on a second-generation 3nm process, is seen as a key milestone in Xiaomi's chip development and is expected to support its high-end strategy [7]. - Goldman Sachs forecasts Xiaomi's smartphone shipments to reach 170 million units by 2025, slightly below market consensus [7]. AIoT Business - Xiaomi's AIoT business is projected to grow approximately 50% year-on-year, with major contributions from large appliances and tablets [5][8]. - By 2027, large appliances and tablets are expected to account for about 40% of AIoT sales and 50% of gross profit, up from 30% and 35% in 2024 [8]. Electric Vehicle Business - The second phase of Xiaomi's electric vehicle factory has passed government inspection and is set to begin trial production soon, with the third phase showing early signs of progress [9]. - Delivery estimates for the YU7 SUV (including YU7 Ultra) are around 320,000 units by 2025/26 [9][12]. Financial Performance - Xiaomi's global smartphone market share reached 14% in Q1 2025, with significant growth in the Chinese market [10]. - In the home appliance sector, sales of air conditioners, washing machines, and refrigerators saw year-on-year increases of 103%, 184%, and 145%, respectively [11]. - The global tablet shipment increased by 57% to 3.1 million units, positioning Xiaomi third in both global and Chinese markets [11]. AI Ecosystem Development - Xiaomi launched its first open-source inference-based large language model, MiMo, and is building a vast AIoT ecosystem with over 700 million active smartphone installations and more than 900 million connected AIoT devices [13]. - Adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025-2027 have been increased by 3-6% due to stronger IoT sales and gross profit outlook [13]. Upcoming Catalysts - Key upcoming events include the Q1 earnings report, the release of the "Xring" chip, the "2025 Investor Day" meeting, and the launch of the YU7 SUV, with expected monthly sales of around 30,000 units [13][14][15].