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全球金融论坛|中国金融学会副会长欧阳卫民:坚信全球经济一体化产业分工合作是大势所趋
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao·2025-05-19 22:15

Group 1 - The trend of global economic fragmentation is becoming increasingly significant, driven by trade and technological decoupling, policy divergence, and rising global uncertainty [1][2] - Fragmentation is a relative concept compared to globalization and integration, characterized by weakened economic ties between countries, increased trade barriers, intentional technological decoupling, and restrictions on factor mobility [2][3] - The past 15 years have shown a continuous process of fragmentation, with recent trends indicating a clear decoupling in global trade structures, particularly highlighted by the Russia-Europe divide following the Ukraine conflict [2][3] Group 2 - The rise of populism and extremism has significantly impacted global fragmentation, with many countries believing that privatization, free markets, and trade liberalization are optimal solutions, while the era of super globalization is considered over [3] - The trade conflict between the US and China is a key driver accelerating global fragmentation, with ongoing complaints from the US regarding trade barriers, intellectual property protection, and market access issues [3] - Geopolitical factors have led to fragmentation between the US and China, with a shift in focus from economic efficiency to economic security, which may have substantial implications for future development [3] Group 3 - There is a need to establish a strong awareness of a shared human destiny and confidence in the inevitability of global economic integration and cooperation in industrial division [4] - Recommendations include encouraging technological innovation and cooperation, maintaining overall financial market stability, promoting educational reform, and enhancing policy coordination and communication [4] - A dual approach is suggested to advance globalization while addressing the challenges posed by fragmentation [4]