Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-05-19 23:23Group 1: Travel Trends and Market Insights - The upcoming Dragon Boat Festival holiday is expected to see a steady growth in travel demand, with local and nearby travel accounting for 50% of the market share [1] - There is a significant increase in searches for cultural experience products related to the Dragon Boat Festival, with keywords like "Dragon Boat" and "Zongzi" seeing a 220% increase in search volume [1] - The trend of "central city sinking to surrounding areas" is prominent, with popular short-distance routes identified in regions like the Yangtze River Delta and Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei [1] Group 2: Family and Inbound Travel - The overlap of the Dragon Boat Festival with Children's Day has boosted family travel, with family travel orders accounting for 35% of total orders on the Ctrip platform [2] - Inbound travel is gaining traction, with hotel search heat for inbound travel exceeding 100% year-on-year, indicating a strong appeal of China as a travel destination for foreign tourists [2] - The top ten source countries for inbound tourism include Malaysia, South Korea, and the United States, with major destinations being Shanghai, Beijing, and Guangzhou [2] Group 3: Financial Performance of Travel Companies - Ctrip Group reported a net operating income of 13.8 billion RMB for Q1 2025, a 16% increase year-on-year, with a net profit of 4.3 billion RMB [4] - Tongcheng Travel is projected to achieve revenues of 19.91 billion RMB in 2025, with a target price set at 28.00 HKD per share based on strong fundamentals [4] - Huazhu Group's adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2024 is expected to grow by 10%, leading to an upward revision of its target price to 31.5 HKD [5] Group 4: Market Outlook and Recommendations - The tourism industry is anticipated to continue its recovery, supported by domestic demand policies and improving consumer confidence [3] - Key investment recommendations include focusing on leisure travel platforms and quality scenic area operators, as well as business travel recovery stocks [3] - Companies like Xiangyuan Cultural Tourism and Huangshan Tourism are highlighted as potential investment opportunities in the leisure travel sector [3]