Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the US dollar may further depreciate following the G7 meeting, as global leaders discuss exchange rate policies as part of trade negotiations with the US [1][3] - Citigroup analysts suggest that while Washington is unlikely to actively pursue a weaker dollar, the currency will eventually depreciate as the US reaches agreements to lower tariffs with its trade partners [1] - The focus on exchange rate policy has intensified ahead of the G7 meeting, with officials from South Korea and Taiwan indicating discussions with the US on this topic [1] Group 2 - Citigroup expects that Treasury Secretary Yellen will not seek a comprehensive agreement to suppress the dollar like the 1985 Plaza Accord, but will emphasize the role of central banks in exchange rate issues [3] - Analysts believe the risk of dollar depreciation is increasing, as the motivation for maintaining a strong dollar policy will diminish with the removal of high tariffs [3] - Since the announcement of high tariffs in early April, the Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index has declined by 4%, leading to uncertainty about US policy and damaging confidence in the dollar and other US assets [3]
广场协议2.0要来?花旗预计G7会议后美元将开启贬值通道