特朗普“强推”万亿减税法案！金融大佬开始慌了

Core Points - The article discusses President Trump's push for a comprehensive tax reform bill aimed at extending tax cuts and significantly reducing government spending, amidst internal conflicts within the Republican Party [1][2]. Group 1: Tax Reform Bill Details - The proposed bill will extend personal income tax cuts, increase the standard deduction and child tax credit, and reduce taxes on tips and overtime pay, aligning with Trump's 2024 campaign promises [2]. - The legislation will also increase military and border security spending while cutting billions from Medicaid and clean energy tax credits [2]. - The nonpartisan Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget (CFRB) estimates that the bill will increase U.S. national debt by over $3.3 trillion over the next decade [2]. Group 2: Internal Party Conflicts - The Republican Party holds a slim majority in the House, making it crucial for Trump to manage dissent among party members to pass the bill [1]. - There is ongoing contention between hardline conservatives and moderates regarding issues such as climate tax credits and state and local tax deductions [1][3]. - Some Republican members have expressed concerns that the proposed tax cuts primarily benefit wealthier individuals in blue states, potentially increasing the deficit [3]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Economic Implications - Investors are wary of the proposed tax reform, raising questions about the sustainability of U.S. public finances and the willingness of global markets to fund Washington's debt [2][4]. - The CFRB projects that the debt-to-GDP ratio will rise from 100% to a record 125%, with annual deficits increasing from approximately 6.4% to 6.9% of GDP by 2024 [4]. - The recent downgrade of the U.S. credit rating by Moody's has led to rising long-term Treasury yields, indicating increased borrowing costs for the government [2][4].