Tesla(US:TSLA) 智通财经网·2025-05-21 10:21Group 1: Core Insights - Morgan Stanley reaffirms a bullish outlook on Tesla, setting a base target price of $410 and a bullish scenario target of $800, indicating strong potential for stock price appreciation within the next 12 months [1][8] - The analysis highlights Tesla's position as a key beneficiary in the AI era and the U.S.-China autonomous driving technology competition, driven by the widespread adoption of its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system and the development of a Robotaxi network [1][6] Group 2: Valuation and Business Segments - Morgan Stanley suggests that Tesla's high market valuation cannot be solely justified by traditional automotive profits, as investors currently value its automotive business at $50-100 per share, similar to how Amazon and Apple were undervalued in their early days [2][8] - The analysis breaks down Tesla's potential revenue streams, estimating a total valuation of $800 in a bullish case, with significant contributions from Tesla Auto, Tesla Energy, Mobility services, and Network Services [3] Group 3: AI and Robotics Potential - Tesla is positioned to benefit significantly from advancements in AI, particularly through its Dojo supercomputer and Optimus humanoid robot, which are expected to integrate with its FSD technology [5][10] - The humanoid robot market is projected to be larger than the current global automotive market, with estimates suggesting a potential market size of $1 trillion by 2050 [10][19] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - The ongoing U.S.-China competition in autonomous driving is seen as a major catalyst for Tesla's valuation and growth, with Tesla's FSD system expected to penetrate the market through subscription models [6][22] - Traditional Western automakers are increasingly looking to collaborate with Chinese EV manufacturers, which could enhance Tesla's position in the market by leveraging its extensive data and AI capabilities [23]