Wall Street has been keeping an eye on Tesla Inc (NASDAQ:TSLA) since President Donald Trump named CEO Elon Musk to co-lead his new Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), a taskforce aimed at reducing federal spending. Price updates dinged Tesla stock last month, and at last check they are down 0.9% to trade at $358.26 today  -- on track for their fourth-straight drop and fresh off their sixth weekly loss in seven. The good news is this pullback has TSLA testing a historically bullish trendline.Tesla's ...

I am a full-time analyst interested in a wide range of stocks. With my unique insights and knowledge, I hope to provide other investors with a contrasting view of my portfolio, given my particular background.If you have any questions, feel free to reach out to me via a direct message on Seeking Alpha or leave a comment on one of my articles.Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of TSLA either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myse ...

ToplineAs Tesla CEO Elon Musk grows further embedded in the White House, his electric vehicle company’s public perception is weighing on the stock according to polling by investment research firm Stifel, which lowered its price target for Tesla due to pushback about Musk’s key role in the administration of President Donald Trump.Elon Musk at the site of Tesla's Germany "gigafactory" in 2020. AFP via Getty Images Key Facts“The negative downturn in consumers' perception of Elon Musk…potentially results in a h ...

At the end of January, Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) released its latest earnings report for Q4-2024 and the full FY2024. The recent financial results and the first data about the January 2025 vehicle volumes have raisedAnalyst’s Disclosure: I/we have no stock, option or similar derivative position in any of the companies mentioned, and no plans to initiate any such positions within the next 72 hours. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it (other than from ...

Few stocks have generated investor wealth like Tesla. In the past decade, shares of the electric vehicle (EV) pioneer have soared 2,420%. That gain is hard to beat. However, at a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 182, Tesla undoubtedly trades at a nosebleed valuation. That multiple implies flawless execution for the business to not only introduce full self-driving technology, but to be able to commercialize it to remarkable success.That kind of outcome is far from certain. But for investors looking to put mo ...

A dollar in corporate profit isn't always what it's cracked up to be.Since 2023 began, Wall Street's major stock indexes have been practically unstoppable. The ageless Dow Jones Industrial Average, benchmark S&P 500 (^GSPC -0.95%), and growth-powered Nasdaq Composite have ascended to numerous record-closing highs.Investors haven't hurt for catalysts, with a laundry list of positives responsible for perpetuating this more than two-year rally. This includes the rise of artificial intelligence (AI), Donald Tru ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Increase" (Maintain) [2] Core Views - The company reported Q4 2024 revenue of $25.71 billion, which was a slight increase of 2% quarter-over-quarter but fell short of market expectations of $27.26 billion. The GAAP net profit was $2.3 billion, with a contribution of $600 million from changes in the fair value of digital assets. The automotive sales gross margin (excluding credits and leasing) decreased by 4% to 13%, marking a three-year low. The energy business gross margin was 25%, which, although it decreased, remained in a high range [4][5]. - The company has a positive outlook with new products and the Robotaxi expected to launch in 2025. The company defines 2024 as a trough between two growth waves, anticipating a resurgence in sales growth in 2025 driven by new models and advancements in Full Self-Driving (FSD) technology. The company expects a 50% year-over-year increase in energy deployment in 2025 [6][7]. - The recent financial report reflects a transitional period as the company is at a critical juncture of product and technology upgrades. The existing Model 3 and Model Y have been on the market for several years, leading to a decline in product competitiveness and profitability. The company remains a leader in autonomous driving, with significant investments in AI, data, algorithms, and infrastructure, which provide a solid foundation for continuous improvement in autonomous driving technology [6][7]. Financial Summary - Key financial metrics for the company are as follows: - Total revenue for 2024 is projected at $97.69 billion, with a year-over-year growth of 1% - Net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to be $7.09 billion, reflecting a 53% decline year-over-year - Gross margin is projected at 18% for 2024, with a return on equity (ROE) of 10% [5][6]. - The company anticipates automotive sales of 1.8 million units in 2024, with a gradual increase in production and sales expected in subsequent years [7].

[Table_StockNameRptType] 特斯拉（TSLA.O） 公司点评 业绩低于预期，Robotaxi 年内落地 | | | | | | | [Table_BaseData] 收盘价（美元） | 361.62 | | --- | --- | | 近 12 个月最高/最低（美元）488.5/167.4 | | | 总股本（百万股） | 3,216 | | 流通股本（百万股） | 3,216 | | 流通股比例（%） | 100 | | 总市值（亿美元） | 11,631 | | 流通市值（亿美元） | 11,631 | ⚫[Table_Summary] 24Q4 业绩 1）整体业绩：24Q4，特斯拉收入为 257.07 亿美元(yoy+2.1%)，低于 彭博一致性预期 5.53%；毛利率达 16.30%，低于彭博一致性预期的 18.95%；利润端，营业利润录得 15.83 亿美元(yoy-23.3%)，显著低于 彭博一致性预期 37.16%;OPM 达 6.16%，低于彭博一致性预期的 9.96%；GAAP 归母净利润录得 23.17 亿美元(yoy-71%)，低于彭博一 致性预期 1.89%； 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - Elon Musk believes Tesla's humanoid robotics business, specifically the Optimus project, could potentially generate over $10 trillion in revenue, indicating a significant growth opportunity beyond electric vehicles [3][4]. Group 1: Tesla's AI and Robotics Initiatives - Tesla is actively developing AI-driven projects, including humanoid robots, as part of its broader strategy to diversify beyond electric vehicles and energy storage [3][6]. - The Optimus project has been highlighted as a potential game-changer for Tesla, with Musk previously suggesting it could be a $200 trillion business, although he recently revised this estimate to over $10 trillion [4]. Group 2: Market Potential and Challenges - The total addressable market for Optimus is difficult to predict accurately due to uncertainties in consumer and business demand, as well as production scalability and costs [5][6]. - Despite the challenges, Optimus could serve as a catalyst for Tesla's various business segments, potentially enhancing manufacturing efficiency and profitability through automation [7]. Group 3: Long-term Outlook - The commercial viability of Optimus is still years away, and the current focus remains on Tesla's core electric vehicle operations [8]. - Optimus may represent a significant long-term value creation opportunity for Tesla, with the potential to unlock substantial value through enhanced robotics integration [9].

Core Viewpoint - A Wall Street analyst has warned that Tesla may face a potential collapse in 2025 due to declining sales and an unsustainable valuation, as the stock struggles to regain the $400 mark [1][2]. Sales Performance - Tesla's sales have significantly dropped, with a 50% year-over-year decline in Europe for January 2025, an 8% decrease in China, and five consecutive quarters of year-over-year declines in California, its largest U.S. market [7][11]. - In Germany, Tesla registrations fell 59.5% year-over-year to just 1,277 in January, despite having its sole European factory located there [9]. Financial Performance - Tesla reported weaker-than-expected Q4 2024 earnings, with revenue rising only 2% to $25.71 billion, missing the forecast of $27.26 billion. Automotive sales fell 8% to $19.8 billion due to lower average selling prices across all major models [11][12]. - Operating income dropped 23% to $1.6 billion, while net income plunged 71% to $2.32 billion, largely due to the absence of a $5.9 billion tax benefit from the previous year [12]. Valuation Concerns - The analyst highlighted Tesla's valuation as "absurdly high," noting it stands at 181 times its projected 2025 non-GAAP earnings per share, implying an unrealistic scenario where Tesla would need to pay 100% of its earnings as dividends for 181 years [10]. Market Dynamics - The current political landscape, particularly with Donald Trump in office, is seen as unfavorable for Tesla, as regulatory shifts could negatively impact the company's core business by moving away from EV subsidies and renewable energy policies [3][5]. - Tesla's key customer base, primarily liberal-leaning Democrats, has distanced itself from Elon Musk due to his political and social stances, which has weakened brand loyalty [4][5]. Future Outlook - Tesla is banking on advancements in full self-driving technology (FSD) and artificial intelligence (AI) to drive future growth, although analysts warn that the stock is already pricing in these advancements despite the lack of tangible products and rising safety concerns [14][15]. - The company recorded a slight year-over-year drop in 2024 deliveries, falling to 1.79 million from 1.8 million in 2023, but maintained a strong daily average of 4,889 shipments, with improvements in quarterly deliveries [13].