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供需与产能波动 猪肉鸡肉价格齐“跳水”
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-05-22 01:09

Core Insights - The domestic meat market is currently experiencing a weak supply and demand situation, with pork prices continuing to decline and chicken prices under pressure due to insufficient demand [1][2][3] Pork Market Analysis - Pork prices have been fluctuating downwards, with prices for various cuts such as front and hind legs at 10.8 CNY per jin, and other cuts like belly and tenderloin priced at 12.8 CNY and 16.8 CNY per jin respectively [2] - As of May 15, 2025, the average transaction price for domestic frozen pork was 22.06 CNY per kilogram, down 1.89% from the beginning of the year, while fresh pork prices also saw declines of up to 5.64% [2] - The increase in supply from larger pigs and faster slaughtering rates has contributed to the weak pork prices, although upcoming demand for the Dragon Boat Festival may provide some support [3] - The average slaughter volume in April increased by 4.88% due to improved terminal demand and government orders for frozen pork, with the average slaughter volume reaching 14.80 million heads [3] Chicken Market Analysis - The average wholesale price of broiler chicken has decreased from 12 CNY per jin at the beginning of the year to 8.64 CNY per jin by May 19, indicating a significant downward trend [5][6] - The price of broiler chicken in major production areas like Shandong and Liaoning has also seen slight declines, with Shandong's average price at 7.71 CNY per kilogram [5] - High inventory levels and weak demand have led slaughterhouses to adopt strategies to limit production, further driving down chicken prices [5][6] Industry Challenges and Recommendations - The pork industry faces challenges such as low capacity utilization and a lack of integration across the supply chain, which affects competitiveness and risk management [7] - Recommendations for the chicken industry include improving management practices, enhancing breeding quality, and integrating vertically to stabilize supply and reduce costs [8]