Core Viewpoint - Q1 2025 performance of Qifu Technology exceeded previous expectations, driven by higher loan volumes and improved funding costs [1][2] Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue increased by 13% year-on-year and 5% quarter-on-quarter to 4.69 billion yuan, while non-GAAP net profit rose by 60% year-on-year but decreased by 2% quarter-on-quarter to 1.93 billion yuan [1][2] - The net service fee rate was approximately 5.6%, slightly down from 5.96% in Q4 2024, attributed to a decrease in average funding costs and stable asset quality [2] Loan Volume and Structure - Q1 2025 loan volume increased by 16% year-on-year but decreased by 1% quarter-on-quarter to 88.9 billion yuan, with technology solution loans accounting for about 49% [1] - The company expects loan volume growth of 5%-10% year-on-year for 2025, maintaining previous forecasts [1] Shareholder Returns - The company maintains a semi-annual dividend policy, with cash dividends of $0.6 and $0.7 per ADS planned for 1H24 and 2H24 respectively [2] - As of May 19, 2025, the company has repurchased 9.1 million ADS for approximately $405 million, with total repurchase expected to be no less than $680 million for 2025 [2] Regulatory Environment - The introduction of the "Assisted Loan New Regulations" is expected to promote industry standardization and eliminate unreasonable pricing behaviors, benefiting compliant institutions like the company [3] Earnings Forecast and Valuation - Earnings forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 2% and 4% to 7.17 billion yuan and 7.82 billion yuan respectively due to optimized funding and credit costs [3] - The company's current trading multiples are 7.1x and 6.5x for 2025 and 2026 P/E in the US market, and 6.6x and 6.0x in the Hong Kong market, with target prices maintained at $60.0 and HK$253.4 [3]
奇富科技-S(03660.HK)：高股东回报及稳健经营或助估值持续提升