每日投行/机构观点梳理（2025-05-21）

Group 1: Hedge Funds and Market Trends - Hedge funds reduced their positions in the "Tech Seven" stocks in the US while increasing holdings in Chinese ADRs, with popular choices including Alibaba, Pinduoduo, Baidu, and JD.com [1] - Morgan Stanley upgraded US stocks and bonds from neutral to overweight, predicting the S&P 500 index could reach 6,500 points by Q2 2026, with a forecasted decline in 10-year Treasury yields to 3.45% [3] - UBS expects the Federal Reserve to potentially start cutting rates in September, with a total reduction of 75 basis points anticipated for the year [2] Group 2: Regional Market Insights - Morgan Stanley views Singapore's stock market as an attractive defensive play, with a projected P/E ratio of 14.3 and a dividend yield of 4% [4] - Mitsubishi UFJ analysts believe the Japanese yen will remain supported due to the Bank of Japan's inclination towards further rate hikes, contrasting with other G10 central banks [5] - Galaxy Securities suggests that the airport sector has priced in pessimism regarding duty-free agreements, with future international passenger flow recovery being a key focus [8] Group 3: Economic Policies and Predictions - Dongfang Jincheng anticipates further interest rate cuts by the central bank in the second half of the year to stimulate economic growth [7] - CITIC Securities indicates that recent LPR and deposit rate cuts are part of a transmission chain aimed at stabilizing interest margins and maintaining loan demand [11] - Huatai Securities recommends focusing on real estate companies with strong resources and stable operations, as the market is still in a recovery phase [10]