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中通快递-W(02057.HK):行业竞争加剧 静待格局优化
Ge Long Hui·2025-05-22 02:27

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights that ZTO Express reported a revenue of 10.892 billion yuan for Q1 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 9.4%, and an adjusted net profit of 2.259 billion yuan, up 1.6%, which aligns with expectations [1] - The volume of business completed by the company reached 8.539 billion pieces, a year-on-year increase of 19.1%, slightly below the industry growth rate of 21.6%. The volume of scattered goods increased by 46% year-on-year, significantly outpacing the overall business volume growth, driven by the company's expansion in the returns sector and deepening collaborations with e-commerce platforms and corporate clients [1] - The company is optimistic about the continued growth of its scattered goods business due to the implementation of its corner-to-corner policy and the expansion of its service station coverage [1] Group 2 - In Q1 2025, the company's single ticket distribution cost was 0.27 yuan per ticket, down 0.03 yuan year-on-year, while the single ticket transportation cost was 0.41 yuan per ticket, down 0.06 yuan, indicating a core cost reduction of 0.09 yuan [2] - The company's operational capabilities and cost efficiency are improving, allowing it to maintain performance resilience amid increasing industry competition. The company expects a business volume growth rate of 20%-24% for 2025 [2] - The profit forecast for the company has been slightly adjusted downwards, with expected adjusted net profits for 2025-2027 being 9.54 billion, 10.53 billion, and 12.05 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a year-on-year growth of -6%, 10%, and 14% [2]