Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that J&T Express (01519) has achieved a market share of 30%, and the reduction in Shopee's business volume in Indonesia is unlikely to impact the performance guidance for the fiscal year 2025 [1] - The company is expanding its network in East Java, Indonesia, with a cost structure potentially lower than that of self-operated logistics by e-commerce platforms [1] - J&T Express has the capability to lower unit costs due to a decrease in average selling prices and a higher level of automation compared to other Southeast Asian countries [1] Group 2 - Despite a 12% year-on-year decline in average selling prices in Indonesia, J&T Express has managed to reduce transportation, sorting, and delivery costs by 10%, 15%, and 14% respectively through efficiency improvements [2] - Bank of America expects an overall capacity utilization rate of 70% in Southeast Asia, indicating further potential for unit cost reductions [2] - The adjusted net profit forecast for the fiscal years 2025 to 2026 has been increased by 0% to 4%, primarily due to strong business volume growth in Southeast Asia and the potential for slight positive EBITDA from new markets [2]
美银证券：上调极兔速递-W(01519)目标价至7.7港元 重申“买入”评级