FiberHome(SH:600498) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-22 08:23Core Viewpoint - The company maintains stable operations despite a decline in revenue, with high growth rates in net profit attributable to shareholders and net profit excluding non-recurring items. The domestic computing power business continues to grow rapidly, and overseas capacity is being continuously improved, leading to an optimistic outlook for the company's future development, resulting in an upward adjustment of the target price and a maintained buy rating [1]. Financial Performance - The company reported a revenue of 28.549 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 8.29%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 703 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 39.05%, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 653 million yuan, up 43.70% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 4.049 billion yuan, down 19.97% year-on-year, with a net profit of 55.2 million yuan, an increase of 33.08% year-on-year, and a net profit excluding non-recurring items of 53.95 million yuan, up 28.96% year-on-year [2]. Profit Forecast - The company updated its profit forecast, expecting net profits attributable to shareholders to be 1.006 billion yuan, 1.167 billion yuan, and 1.344 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively. Corresponding EPS for 2025-2027 is projected to be 0.85 yuan, 0.99 yuan, and 1.13 yuan. Based on industry average valuation and prudent considerations, a PE of 35x for 2025 is given, raising the target price to 29.72 yuan from the previous 24.72 yuan, while maintaining a buy rating [2]. Business Segments - In the optical communication sector, the company achieved revenue of 22.313 billion yuan from communication system equipment, down 6.19% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 19.46%, up 0.26 percentage points. Revenue from fiber and cable was 4.699 billion yuan, down 12.77% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 25.35%, up 4.16 percentage points. Data network product revenue was 1.144 billion yuan, down 27.44% year-on-year, with a gross margin of 43.92%, up 2.56 percentage points. The company secured a position as a core supplier for the 400G network by winning bids from three major operators [3]. Computing Power Business - The domestic computing power revenue reached nearly 6 billion yuan, with a compound annual growth rate exceeding 100% over the past two years. The company’s Longjiang Computing has been certified as a leading partner for Huawei's Kunpeng and Ascend products, ranking in the top three in the ecosystem, indicating potential benefits from the growth in domestic computing power demand [3]. Global Expansion - The company has initiated trial production at its R&D and manufacturing bases in Thailand and Hungary, which is expected to help mitigate trade risks [3]. Cost Management - In 2024, the company's sales, management, and R&D expense ratios were 6.59%, 1.54%, and 10.09%, respectively, showing year-on-year changes of +0.85 percentage points, +0.44 percentage points, and -1.40 percentage points. The combined expense ratio decreased by 0.11 percentage points year-on-year, indicating effective cost control amid declining overall revenue [3]. Catalysts - The demand for domestic computing power is expected to exceed expectations, serving as a potential catalyst for growth [4].