HYMD(SH:600971) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-22 08:26Core Viewpoint - The company's coal production and sales volume declined in Q1 2025, primarily due to falling coal prices, leading to a significant drop in performance. It is anticipated that coking coal prices have bottomed out, presenting potential for upward movement in the future, while the power generation business is gradually expanding [1][2][3][4]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported total operating revenue of 1.179 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 42.52%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 27 million yuan, down 93.70% year-on-year [2]. - The company adjusted its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for 2025-2027 to 0.58, 0.66, and 0.75 yuan, down from previous estimates of 0.64, 0.71, and 0.80 yuan [2]. - The average selling price of coal in Q1 2025 was 692 yuan per ton, a decrease of 325 yuan per ton year-on-year, while the sales cost remained stable at 561 yuan per ton, resulting in a gross profit of 130 yuan per ton, down 326 yuan per ton year-on-year [3]. Market Conditions - The average price of coking coal in Q1 2025 was 1,675 yuan per ton, down 615 yuan per ton year-on-year. In Q2 2025, it is expected to further decline by 235 yuan per ton to 1,439 yuan per ton due to ongoing market supply and demand issues [4]. - The company anticipates that policies to stimulate domestic demand may be introduced in the second half of 2025, which could boost downstream steel demand and potentially lead to a recovery in coking coal prices [4]. Business Expansion - The company has a relatively small installed capacity for thermal power generation at 66 MW and holds a 50% stake in the Qianyingzi Power Plant, which has an installed capacity of 2×350 MW for phase one and 1×1000 MW for phase two, with the latter connected to the grid on February 25, 2025. Additionally, it has a 21% stake in the Guoneng Suzhou Thermal Power Co., Ltd., which has an installed capacity of 2×350 MW [4].