TFC(300394) 新浪财经·2025-05-22 10:42Core Viewpoint - The company reported strong financial performance for 2024, with significant year-on-year growth in revenue and net profit, and a stable start to 2025, indicating robust operational momentum [1][5]. Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 3.25 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 67.7%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.34 billion yuan, up 84.1% [1]. - For Q4 2024, the company recorded revenue of 860 million yuan, with quarter-on-quarter growth of 17.0% and year-on-year growth of 2.2%, and a net profit of 370 million yuan, reflecting quarter-on-quarter growth of 26.2% and year-on-year growth of 13.9% [1]. - In Q1 2025, the company generated revenue of 950 million yuan, with quarter-on-quarter growth of 29.1% and year-on-year growth of 10.2%, while net profit was 340 million yuan, showing quarter-on-quarter growth of 21.1% but a year-on-year decline of 8.0% [1]. Product Line Performance - In 2024, the company’s active and passive product lines generated revenues of 1.66 billion yuan (up 121.9% year-on-year) and 1.58 billion yuan (up 33.2% year-on-year), respectively [2]. - The demand for passive components surged due to the AI data communication market, although certain telecom markets faced pressure [2]. - The company is focusing on high-speed data communication and silicon photonics products, with improvements in cost optimization and yield, leading to an 8.2 percentage point increase in passive gross margin compared to 2023 [2]. Strategic Developments - The company has commenced production at its Thailand factory, which is strategically positioned in the upstream of the optical module supply chain, minimizing the impact of tariff fluctuations [3]. - The Thailand factory has successfully passed customer certification for certain passive component product lines, with plans for expansion underway [3]. - The company is developing customized passive components and enhancing its capabilities in silicon photonics, which is expected to open up larger market opportunities [3]. Market Position and Future Outlook - The company is a key participant in the supply chain for NVIDIA's CPO, which is anticipated to drive new growth as the market expands [4]. - NVIDIA's CPO switches are projected to significantly reduce energy consumption and improve network reliability, with the CPO market potentially reaching $5 billion by 2030 [4]. - The company has begun small-scale deliveries of high-power lasers suitable for CPO applications, indicating readiness to capitalize on market opportunities [4]. Profit Forecast - The company expects a significant rebound in active business growth in the second half of the year, with projected net profits of 2.08 billion yuan, 2.88 billion yuan, and 3.24 billion yuan for 2025-2027, respectively [5]. - Corresponding EPS estimates are 3.75, 5.19, and 5.84 for the same periods, with the current valuation at a historical low [5].