Salesforce Gears Up to Post Q1 Earnings: How to Play the Stock?

Core Viewpoint - Salesforce is expected to report strong first-quarter fiscal 2026 results, with projected revenues between $9.71 billion and $9.76 billion, indicating a 6.6% year-over-year increase [1][5] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - Total revenue estimate for the first quarter is pegged at $9.74 billion, reflecting a 6.6% increase from the previous year [1] - Non-GAAP earnings per share are anticipated to be in the range of $2.53 to $2.55, with a consensus estimate of $2.54, representing a 4.1% increase year-over-year [2] Earnings Performance - Salesforce has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 4.4% [3] - The Earnings ESP is +0.76%, indicating a potential earnings beat this quarter [4] Growth Drivers - The company is well-positioned for strong results due to its focus on digital transformation and cloud solutions, aligning product offerings with customer needs [5] - Growing demand for generative AI-enabled cloud solutions has enhanced customer engagement and competitive positioning [6] - Salesforce's expansion in key geographic markets and the public sector has unlocked new growth opportunities [7] Strategic Acquisitions - Recent acquisitions, including Spiff, Own, and Zoomin, have diversified revenue streams and enhanced capabilities, likely driving higher subscription revenues [8] - Revenue estimates for key cloud services include $2.14 billion for Sales, $2.34 billion for Service, $1.84 billion for Platform & Other, $1.35 billion for Marketing & Commerce, and $1.54 billion for Data [9] Profitability and Cost Management - Ongoing cost restructuring initiatives are expected to improve profitability, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 33.1% reported in the previous quarter [10] Market Performance and Valuation - Over the past year, Salesforce shares have risen 1.4%, underperforming the Zacks Computer – Software industry growth of 10.4% [11] - The stock is trading at a forward 12-month P/S of 6.48X, compared to the industry average of 9.25X, indicating a discount [14] Competitive Position - Salesforce maintains its leadership in the customer relationship management industry, consistently outperforming competitors like Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP [17] - Strategic acquisitions, such as the $27.7 billion acquisition of Slack, have enhanced its market position [18] - AI initiatives, including the introduction of Einstein GPT, have expanded its functionalities and improved customer interactions [19] Industry Outlook - Global IT spending is projected to reach $5.61 trillion in 2025, with enterprise software spending expected to grow by 14.2% year-over-year, positioning Salesforce to capture a significant share of this growth [20] Conclusion - The company's leadership in CRM, aggressive AI expansion, and favorable IT spending trends create a solid foundation for sustained growth, making the stock worth holding ahead of Q1 results [21]