TRIP.COM(09961) 格隆汇·2025-05-25 01:45Core Viewpoint - Trip.com Group reported strong financial performance in Q1 2025, with revenue growth and positive operating profit margins, indicating a robust recovery in the travel sector [1][4]. Financial Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached Rmb13.9 billion, representing a 16% year-over-year increase [1]. - Non-GAAP operating profit was Rmb4 billion, with a non-GAAP operating profit margin of 29% [1]. - The company maintains its non-GAAP EPS forecasts of Rmb27.7 for 2025, Rmb29.7 for 2026, and Rmb30 for 2027 [1]. Business Segment Performance - Accommodation reservation revenue increased by 23% year-over-year [2]. - Transportation ticketing revenue grew by 8%, packaged tour revenue by 7%, corporate travel revenue by 12%, and other business revenue by 33% [2]. - Revenue breakdown by region: domestic (65% of total revenue, low teens growth), outbound (15%, 20% growth), and pure overseas (20%, 30%+ growth) [2]. Brand Contribution and Outlook - The Trip.com brand contributed 13% of total revenue, with over 50% year-over-year growth [3]. - For Q2 2025, revenue is expected to grow by 14% year-over-year, with domestic business in low teens, outbound travel up by 15%, and Trip.com brand growth exceeding 50% [3]. - The recovery rate of outbound travel compared to 2019 is projected to rise from 50% in Q1 2025 to 60% [3]. Market Position and Rating - The company is positioned as a leader in China's online travel industry, with potential for market share gains internationally [4]. - The target price is maintained at HK$590, indicating a 22% upside, with a Buy rating sustained [4].