阳光电源(300274)：业绩实现高增 储能业务全球多点开花

Core Viewpoint - The explosive growth of the energy storage business in 2024 is the main driver for the rapid improvement in the company's performance, with an annual energy storage revenue growth rate of 40%, significantly exceeding the industry average, and a gross margin of 36.7% demonstrating the premium strength of the leader [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved an operating revenue of 77.857 billion yuan (up 7.76% year-on-year) and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 11.036 billion yuan (up 16.92% year-on-year) [2] - In Q4, the single-quarter revenue was 27.911 billion yuan (up 8.03% year-on-year, up 47.50% quarter-on-quarter), with a net profit of 3.437 billion yuan (up 55.05% year-on-year, up 30.16% quarter-on-quarter) [2] - In Q1 2025, the company reported an operating revenue of 19.036 billion yuan (up 50.92% year-on-year, down 31.79% quarter-on-quarter) and a net profit of 3.826 billion yuan (up 82.52% year-on-year, up 11.32% quarter-on-quarter) [2] Energy Storage Business - The company maintained high growth in shipments and revenue, with a total energy storage system shipment of 28 GWh in 2024 (up 167% year-on-year) and revenue of 24.959 billion yuan (up 40.21% year-on-year), significantly outpacing the global average growth rate in the energy storage industry [3] - The company's PowerTitan 2.0 liquid cooling system has rapidly penetrated the Middle East and European markets, securing major orders including the largest energy storage project in the UK (4.4 GWh) and a benchmark project in the Middle East (7.8 GWh) [3] - The company aims to achieve energy storage system shipments of 40-50 GWh in 2025, continuing its high growth trajectory [3] Inverter Business - The global shipment of photovoltaic inverters reached 147 GW in 2024 (up 13% year-on-year), further expanding the company's leading market share [4] - Despite the increase in distribution channel share and the impact of European currency depreciation, the overall gross margin declined to 30.90% (down 1.94 percentage points year-on-year) [4] - The company has established a "high voltage + modular" barrier through technology, and the domestic supply chain has reduced costs, which helps maintain stable gross margins in the inverter business [4] Cash Flow and R&D - The company's operating net cash flow improved significantly to 12.068 billion yuan in 2024 (up 72.9% year-on-year), with inventory turnover days reduced to 98 days and the debt ratio declining to 64.16% [4] - R&D investment reached 3.164 billion yuan (up 29.3% year-on-year), focusing on cutting-edge technologies such as power electronics and high-voltage systems, with 9,401 new patents filed (54% of which are invention patents) [4] Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendation - As a global leader in energy storage, the company has significant advantages in brand, R&D, and distribution channels, with expected high growth in energy storage system shipments in 2025 [5] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are 93.452 billion yuan, 107.731 billion yuan, and 119.517 billion yuan, with net profits of 12.035 billion yuan, 13.140 billion yuan, and 13.947 billion yuan, corresponding to current PE valuations of 10.44, 9.56, and 9.01 times [5]