Trimble(TRMB) The Motley Fool·2025-05-25 14:05Core Viewpoint - Trimble is positioned for significant growth due to established technology and a shift towards software solutions, which are becoming integral to customer workflows [1][5]. Group 1: Growth Drivers - Trimble's origins are in hardware solutions for precise positioning, particularly in architecture, construction, and logistics [4]. - The company's future growth is driven by software solutions that leverage data from hardware for ongoing modeling and analytics [5]. - The transition to recurring revenue from software subscriptions is a key growth driver, enhancing profit margins and customer retention [8][13]. Group 2: Financial Performance - Trimble's net retention rate for its core AECO segment is approximately 110%, indicating strong customer loyalty and upselling potential [9][10]. - The shift in revenue mix to software subscriptions, which have a gross margin of nearly 84%, compared to 46.5% for hardware, suggests improving profit margins [13]. - Management expects adjusted organic annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth of 13% to 15% in 2025, contributing to an increase in free cash flow (FCF) [14]. Group 3: Market Position and Valuation - Trimble's expected FCF for 2025 is projected at $683 million, with Wall Street consensus estimates of $791 million and $906 million for 2026 and 2027, respectively [14][15]. - The stock trades at less than 22 times expected FCF in 2026, indicating it is an attractive investment opportunity for long-term growth [15][16].