Azure(SZ:002245) Xin Lang Cai Jing·2025-05-26 00:36Core Viewpoint - The company reported a significant increase in revenue and profit for 2024 and Q1 2025, driven by strong growth in lithium battery and LED businesses, with expectations for continued high growth in the coming years [1][2]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company achieved revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 6.756 billion, 488 million, and 429 million yuan, respectively, representing year-on-year growth of +29.4%, +246.4%, and +285% [2]. - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue, net profit attributable to shareholders, and net profit excluding non-recurring items of 1.728 billion, 142 million, and 148 million yuan, respectively, with year-on-year growth of +20.9%, +100.6%, and +204%, but a quarter-on-quarter decline of -9.9%, -31.2%, and -24.9% [2]. Lithium Battery Business - The lithium battery segment generated revenue of 2.587 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 58%, with a gross margin of 21.94%, up 13.5 percentage points [3]. - The company sold 442 million lithium batteries in 2024, marking a year-on-year growth of 100.7%, with expectations to reach 700 million units or more in 2025 due to recovery in the electric tool market and growth in capacity-type shipments [1][4]. Pricing and Cost Structure - The average selling price of lithium batteries decreased from approximately 7.43 yuan per unit in 2023 to around 5.85 yuan in 2024, while the profit per unit increased from 0.42 yuan to approximately 0.51 yuan [3]. - In Q1 2025, the average selling price was estimated at around 5.2 yuan per unit, slightly down by 0.2 yuan, attributed to shipment structure changes [4]. Production Capacity and International Expansion - The company's Malaysian factory commenced production in April 2024, expected to contribute over 200 million units this year, helping to mitigate tariff issues due to lower tariffs in Malaysia [5]. - The company anticipates continued growth in lithium battery shipments, with significant contributions from various sectors including electric tools and emerging applications like robotics and AI data centers [4]. Other Business Segments - The LED business is transitioning to high-value products such as miniLED and microLED, while the metal logistics business is maintaining stable growth, with expected contributions of over 150 million and 170 million yuan, respectively [6]. Profit Forecast - The company projects net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025, 2026, and 2027 to be 692 million, 859 million, and 1.09 billion yuan, with corresponding valuation multiples of 21, 17, and 13 times [7].