跨境电商的暴富神话消退了

Core Viewpoint - The rapid growth and profitability of cross-border e-commerce, particularly for Chinese platforms like TEMU, SHEIN, and TikTok Shop, is facing significant challenges due to changing regulations and increased tariffs, leading to a new era of competition and survival strategies in the industry [1][2][11]. Group 1: Market Dynamics - The cancellation of the "low-value exemption" policy by the U.S. government has severely impacted Chinese cross-border e-commerce players, particularly those relying on direct shipping models [5][7][11]. - TEMU and other platforms are shifting from aggressive price wars to brand transformation and operational adjustments in response to the evolving market landscape [2][11]. - The cross-border e-commerce sector is experiencing a shake-up, with smaller players and those dependent on low-cost strategies likely to exit the market, while larger, more resilient companies may gain market share [33][34]. Group 2: Regulatory Environment - Regulatory scrutiny has increased globally, with platforms like SHEIN and TEMU being designated as "super large online platforms" under the EU's Digital Services Act, leading to tighter regulations [3][4]. - The U.S. has also implemented stricter customs policies, which have resulted in significant price increases for goods sold through platforms like Amazon and TEMU [8][9]. Group 3: Business Model Evolution - The introduction of the "full management model" by TEMU has attracted many merchants by reducing entry barriers, but it has also led to concerns about merchants losing pricing power and autonomy [25][28]. - A shift towards a "semi-management model" is emerging, allowing sellers more control over logistics and pricing while still benefiting from platform support [29][30]. - TEMU's recent adjustments, including the Y2 model that allows direct shipping from China to the U.S., aim to mitigate the impact of high tariffs while maintaining competitive pricing [35][36]. Group 4: Future Outlook - The cross-border e-commerce landscape is expected to transition from a focus on aggressive growth to a more sustainable, profit-oriented approach, emphasizing product quality and brand value [37][38]. - Companies must enhance their research and development efforts and shift from low-cost exports to high-value branding strategies to thrive in the new regulatory environment [38].