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全球BD狂飙,创新药企如何做好价值重构与路径抉择
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao·2025-05-27 11:33

Core Viewpoint - The innovative pharmaceutical industry in China is experiencing a "triple resonance" of policy support, industry upgrades, and performance recovery, leading to a restructuring of capital market valuation logic [1] Group 1: Business Development (BD) Collaborations - In May 2025, China’s pharmaceutical industry saw significant BD announcements, including a $60.5 billion collaboration between 3SBio and Pfizer for the SSGJ-707 project [2] - Following this, Sinopharm announced a licensing agreement with Chengdu Guowei Biopharmaceutical for the AGT-siRNA drug GW906, with potential payments totaling up to 5.5 billion yuan [3] - The collaboration between Sinopharm and Guowei aims to enhance the company's pipeline in chronic disease treatment, particularly for primary hypertension [3] Group 2: Market Trends and Innovations - The siRNA technology is highlighted as a frontier in global innovative drug development, with companies like Alnylam leading the market [3][4] - The small nucleic acid market is driven by increasing penetration of existing drugs and unique advantages over traditional small molecules and monoclonal antibodies [5][6] - The success rate of siRNA drugs from project initiation to clinical phase III is approximately 60%, significantly higher than traditional drugs [6] Group 3: Valuation and Market Dynamics - The valuation logic for innovative drugs is evolving, focusing on "technology scarcity × market space × threat of alternative therapies" [7] - The average R&D cost for Chinese innovative drugs is 40%-60% lower than that of Western counterparts, with a reduced timeline from IND to BLA of 1.8 years [8] - In 2024, 228 BD transactions were recorded, with a 36% increase from 2023, indicating a growing trend in domestic and international collaborations [9] Group 4: Strategic Partnerships and Challenges - Large multinational companies are increasingly engaging in early-stage Chinese innovation projects, recognizing the potential for cost-effective assets and market opportunities [10] - The challenges in BD collaborations often stem from valuation discrepancies, with domestic firms focusing on R&D potential while foreign firms prioritize market size and regulatory predictability [10] - Companies are advised to enhance their core value and innovation capabilities while also focusing on intellectual property protection to navigate the complexities of international markets [11][12] Group 5: Future Outlook - The transformation of Chinese innovative pharmaceutical companies from "price takers" to "rule makers" is underway, emphasizing the importance of continuous technological innovation and rational value recognition [13]