Will Carvana Stock Keep Soaring to New Highs or is the Rally Overdone?

Core Insights - Carvana (CVNA) stock has reached a 52-week high of $312, gaining over 50% in 2025 and more than 800% over the last three years, outperforming peers like Amazon and MercadoLibre [1][2] - The company's end-to-end online business model covers all aspects of used-car retailing, and it is only 15% away from its all-time high of$ 370 reached in August 2021 [2] Financial Performance - Carvana's strong financial results are attributed to cost-cutting initiatives and debt restructuring, with total liabilities at $7.1 billion, below total assets of$ 8.87 billion [5] - In Q1, Carvana reported an EPS of $1.51, a significant improvement from an adjusted loss of$ 0.41 in the previous period, exceeding expectations of $0.75 by 101%. Q1 sales increased by 38% year-over-year to$ 4.23 billion, surpassing estimates of $4.04 billion [6] Growth Projections - Carvana is expected to increase total sales by 31% in fiscal 2025 and by another 25% in FY26, reaching$ 22.55 billion [7] - Annual earnings are projected to soar by 192% this year to $4.64 per share, compared to EPS of$ 1.59 in 2024, with FY26 EPS expected to rise another 33% to $6.16 [7] EPS Revisions - FY25 and FY26 EPS estimates have increased by 35% and 23% over the last 90 days, respectively, indicating a positive growth trajectory [10] - Current EPS estimates for FY25 and FY26 are$ 4.64 and $6.16, respectively, showing a consistent upward trend in earnings expectations [11] Valuation Insights - Carvana stock is trading at a premium with a forward P/E ratio of 65.5X, but positive EPS revisions are helping to balance the valuation [12] - The stock holds a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), suggesting potential for further upside [12]