Zhi Tong Cai Jing·2025-05-28 01:25Group 1 - The price of light crude oil futures for July delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange fell by $0.64, closing at $60.89 per barrel, a decrease of 1.04% [1] - The price of Brent crude oil futures for July delivery dropped by $0.65, closing at $64.09 per barrel, a decline of 1.0% [1] - Goldman Sachs forecasts that the international benchmark for crude oil, Brent, and the North American pricing benchmark, WTI, will be more subdued and persistently weak compared to the current low point in 2025-2026 [1] Group 2 - China International Capital Corporation (CICC) predicts that tariffs may further suppress the growth rate of supply in China's civil aviation industry, estimating an average annual growth rate of approximately 3.1% for passenger capacity (available seat kilometers) from 2025 to 2028, compared to 15.4% from 2009 to 2019 [1] - The average annual growth rate for passenger aircraft in the industry is expected to be only 2.8% during the same period [1] - The significant drop in oil prices since 2025 is expected to improve the cost structure for airlines, providing a solid foundation for the initiation of an aviation cycle, with potential for substantial profit elasticity for airlines if the cycle turns upward [1] Group 3 - Leading companies in the aviation sector include China Eastern Airlines (00670), China Southern Airlines (600029), Air China (601111), Capital Airport (00694), and China Civil Aviation Information Network (00696) [2]