章家敦耽误美国二十年

Group 1 - A prominent strategist, Zhang Jiadun, has been a significant influence on U.S. policy towards China, often predicting China's imminent economic collapse, which has not materialized as he suggested [1][2][5] - The U.S. has experienced a shift in focus towards China, particularly after events like 9/11 and the rise of China's manufacturing capabilities, which have led to increased scrutiny and strategic responses from U.S. administrations [1][2][4] - Each U.S. president has relied on Zhang's assessments, leading to a cycle of predictions about China's downfall, which have consistently failed to come true, indicating a potential misjudgment in U.S. foreign policy [5][6][7] Group 2 - The Trump administration's approach to China included significant tariffs and sanctions, based on the belief that these actions would lead to China's manufacturing collapse, which did not occur as anticipated [2][4][6] - The Biden administration has shown a more cautious approach, with a focus on strategic advisors rather than relying on previous predictions about China's economy [3][5] - The ongoing narrative of China's impending collapse has led to a misallocation of U.S. resources and attention over the past two decades, suggesting a need for a reevaluation of U.S. strategies towards China [5][7]