新西兰央行降息25基点，警告全球经济下滑风险

Group 1 - The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has lowered the benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.25%, marking the sixth consecutive rate cut since August 2024, totaling a reduction of 225 basis points [1] - The RBNZ's decision reflects increasing concerns about the economic outlook, with predictions indicating that the cash rate will drop to 2.92% by Q4 2025 and further to 2.85% by Q1 2026, signaling a deeper easing cycle than previously forecasted [1][2] - The central bank has warned that international economic developments, particularly uncertainties surrounding U.S. tariff policies, are expected to suppress demand in New Zealand and slow global economic growth [1] Group 2 - Inflation in New Zealand has slowed, currently at 2.5%, within the target range of 1%-3%, but is expected to rise to 2.7% in Q3 [2] - The RBNZ is prepared to respond to both domestic and international developments to maintain medium-term price stability, with market expectations suggesting at least one more rate cut this year [2] - The RBNZ was a pioneer in tightening monetary policy during the pandemic, having raised rates by 525 basis points from October 2021 to September 2023, but high borrowing costs have significantly suppressed demand, leading to an economic recession last year [2]