蓝莓外汇：美联储强硬鹰派，加拿大经济放缓，汇市博弈升级

Group 1 - The USD/CAD exchange rate is experiencing an upward trend, trading above the 1.38 level, influenced by the dual impact of Federal Reserve policies and Canadian economic data [1] - Recent U.S. economic data shows a mixed pattern, but overall supports the dollar; the Conference Board's consumer confidence index rose to 98.0 in May, significantly higher than the revised 86.0 in April [1] - The Canadian economy is closely tied to oil prices, and recent pressure on international oil prices has led to selling pressure on the Canadian dollar [1] Group 2 - Technical analysis indicates that USD/CAD is at a critical technical level, with resistance at 1.3870 and 1.4007, while support is at 1.3730 and 1.3722 [2] - Market sentiment is cautious, with the resilience of U.S. economic data reinforcing expectations for Federal Reserve tightening, while uncertainty in the Canadian economic outlook increases market watchfulness [4] - The long-term outlook suggests that the divergence between the Federal Reserve's high interest rate expectations and the slowing growth of the Canadian economy may continue to support the upward trend of USD/CAD [4]