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白银评论:亚盘银价震荡微涨,关注上方承压空单布局。
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-05-28 06:25

Fundamental Analysis - Silver prices experienced fluctuations on May 28, with the market focusing on the pressure within the trading range. The previous day's market was influenced by the U.S. market closure, leading to continued volatility due to changing tariff situations, which has pressured gold prices. The market now anticipates a potential agreement, diminishing gold's appeal as a safe-haven asset, resulting in significant capital withdrawal from the gold market [1] - Multiple bearish factors are contributing to the decline in gold prices. The strengthening U.S. dollar has created pressure on gold priced in dollars, with the dollar index rising against a basket of currencies, particularly a 1% increase against the yen [2] - The strong performance of global stock markets has diverted funds from gold. On the previous day, the Dow Jones surged by 740 points (1.78%), the S&P 500 rose by 2.05%, and the Nasdaq increased by 2.47%, with technology stocks leading the rally, attracting capital away from safe-haven assets [2] - Market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve's monetary policy have shifted. The Minneapolis Fed President Neel Kashkari called for maintaining stable interest rates until the impact of tariffs on inflation becomes clearer. This statement reinforced expectations that the Fed may pause interest rate hikes, which theoretically should support gold prices, but was overlooked in the current risk-on sentiment [2] - Recent economic data presents a mixed picture. The U.S. consumer confidence index unexpectedly jumped by 14.4% in May, exceeding economists' expectations, while April's core durable goods orders saw the largest decline in six months, indicating weakened business investment at the start of Q2. This contradictory economic signal suggests a delicate moment for the U.S. economy, with executives delaying capital projects until policies become clearer, although optimism prevails in the current market environment [2] Market Data - Current spot gold is priced around $3350 per ounce, while spot silver is at $33.50 per ounce [3] - The dollar index is currently in a fluctuating rebound phase, with a key resistance level at 100.00 [3] Trend Analysis - The silver market is currently in a price consolidation phase, suggesting a strategy of placing long positions near support and short positions near resistance [7] - Technical indicators for silver show that the K-line is operating near the lower boundary, with support at 32.05. The MACD indicates a downward trend, and market activity is decreasing, suggesting cautious trading and potential low-position long and high-position short strategies [7] Trading Strategy - A proposed trading strategy includes placing short positions around $33.35, with a stop-loss at $33.68 and take-profit targets between $34.00 and $34.60 [7]