Group 1 - The article discusses the potential risks and pitfalls of using leveraged ETFs, particularly those that aim to provide three times the daily return of the semiconductor index [1][2][3] - Leveraged ETFs do not create value and are not a low-risk, high-reward arbitrage tool, as they amplify both gains and losses [2][30] - The concept of "volatility drag" is introduced, explaining how daily resetting of positions can lead to significant losses over time, especially in volatile markets [3][6][24] Group 2 - A mathematical example illustrates that a 10% gain followed by a 10% loss results in a net loss for both the underlying asset and the leveraged ETF, highlighting the asymmetrical nature of returns [4][5] - The article emphasizes that leveraged ETFs have a "path dependency," meaning their final returns are highly influenced by the specific daily price movements [7][19] - The extreme risk of leveraged ETFs is underscored by the fact that a single-day drop of over 33.33% in the underlying index could theoretically render the ETF worthless [8][9] Group 3 - Historical performance data shows that while a specific three-times leveraged semiconductor ETF has had impressive annualized returns over various time frames, these returns are not guaranteed to continue [19][20][35] - The article warns that the high volatility and potential for significant drawdowns, as seen in 2022, make these products unsuitable for long-term holding [22][36] - It is suggested that such leveraged products are more appropriate for short-term trading or very small allocations due to their heightened risk compared to broad market indices [25][34] Group 4 - The article draws parallels between physics and finance, stating that relying solely on leverage for excess profits is akin to believing in a perpetual motion machine [13][15] - The high management fees associated with leveraged ETFs, such as a 0.75% fee for SOXL compared to 0.03%-0.2% for regular ETFs, further erode potential returns [17] - Regulatory warnings indicate that leveraged ETFs are not suitable for long-term investment strategies [18][34]
为什么不要加杠杆?
Hu Xiu·2025-05-28 07:50