彩票“再见了”？中奖500万的概率几乎为零？一些彩民已经觉醒

Core Viewpoint - The probability of ordinary people achieving "instant wealth" through lottery has significantly decreased, with a notable decline in lottery sales in late 2024, marking the first substantial drop in five years [1][4]. Group 1: Lottery Sales Trends - In 2024, the national lottery sales reached 568.9 billion yuan, but there was a decline in sales from October to December, with December's sales at 41.2 billion yuan, down 8.3% year-on-year [1]. - A lottery sales point in Beijing reported a drop in daily sales from an average of 1,200 yuan in 2019 to less than 800 yuan currently, indicating a shift in customer demographics [4]. Group 2: Changing Attitudes Towards Lottery - Many individuals have come to realize that the probability of winning a lottery jackpot is extremely low, exemplified by the 1 in 17.72 million odds of winning the first prize in the Double Color Ball lottery [6]. - Some players, after spending significant amounts on lottery tickets without winning, are opting to invest their money in more reliable financial instruments, such as stocks or government bonds, which they perceive as more trustworthy [9]. - The enthusiasm for lottery among young people is declining, as they prefer to invest in personal development or entrepreneurship rather than gambling on lottery tickets [11]. Group 3: Psychological Factors - The media often promotes stories of lottery winners, which can create unrealistic expectations among new players, leading to disappointment when they do not win [13]. - Players who approach lottery participation with a mindset of guaranteed success are likely to face greater disappointment and may eventually withdraw from playing [15].