Earnings Preview: Genesco (GCO) Q1 Earnings Expected to Decline

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Genesco (GCO) will report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended April 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Genesco is expected to report a quarterly loss of $2.14 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -1.9%, while revenues are projected to be $463.91 million, up 1.4% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 7.74% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that Genesco's Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.80%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - Despite the negative Earnings ESP, Genesco holds a Zacks Rank of 2, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Genesco was expected to post earnings of $3.31 per share but delivered $3.26, resulting in a surprise of -1.51% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Genesco has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Market Reaction Factors - An earnings beat or miss may not solely dictate stock price movement, as other factors can influence investor sentiment [15]. - Betting on stocks expected to beat earnings expectations can increase the odds of success, making it important to check Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank before quarterly releases [16].