UNITED STATES SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION Washington, D.C. 20549 FORM 10-Q (Mark One) Commission File No. 1-3083 Genesco Inc. (Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter) (State or other jurisdiction of incorporation or organization) Tennessee 62-0211340 (I.R.S. Employer Identification No.) 535 Marriott Drive 37214 Nashville, Tennessee (Address of principal executive offices) Registrant's telephone number, including area code: (615) 367-7000 Securities registered pursuant to Section 12(b) o ...

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Group 1 - Genesco Inc. reported Q1 '26 earnings results, indicating a mixed quarter performance [1] - Journeys showed good comparable sales, but gross profit did not increase due to rising footwear prices [1] Group 2 - The investment approach focuses on operational aspects and long-term earnings potential rather than market-driven dynamics [1] - The strategy emphasizes holding companies for the long term, with a small fraction being considered for buy recommendations [1]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue of $474 million for the first quarter, an increase of approximately 4% year-over-year, driven by a 5% growth in comparable sales, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive comps [34][35] - Adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 46.7%, a decline of 90 basis points compared to the previous year, primarily due to a shift towards higher price point but lower margin products [35] - Adjusted earnings per share loss improved by $0.05 year-over-year, with an adjusted diluted loss per share of $2.05 for the quarter compared to a loss of $2.10 last year [38][42] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Journeys led the business with comparable sales up 8%, while Schuh saw a 1% increase, and Johnston and Murphy experienced a 2% decline in comps [34][35] - The company noted that all channels posted positive growth, with store comps improving by 5% and direct comps increasing by 7% [34][36] - Schuh's digital capabilities and e-commerce business remained a key channel, with digital sales growth outpacing store sales in Q1 [19] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consumer environment was described as choppy, with consumers showing a willingness to shop during specific events like Valentine's Day and Easter, but retreating during quieter periods [5][6] - The UK consumer remains selective, impacting the footwear category and overall purchases [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on diversifying its product offerings and strengthening its leadership in premium athletic footwear, with a significant increase in athletic sales contributing to overall growth [25][26] - The strategic growth plan for Journeys includes enhancing product assortments, improving customer experience through store remodels, and leveraging brand partnerships [24][29] - The company is actively mitigating tariff impacts by diversifying suppliers and sourcing from countries with lower tariffs, aiming to reduce dependence on China [12][13] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current trade environment and emphasized the importance of compelling footwear and freshness to motivate consumer purchases [8][9] - The company reaffirmed its full-year EPS guidance range of $1.30 to $1.70, despite acknowledging increased uncertainty in the external consumer environment [42][43] - Management highlighted the importance of the back-to-school and holiday shopping periods for driving sales and expressed optimism about the second half of the fiscal year [30][42] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with 1,256 total stores, having closed 26 stores and opened 4, resulting in a net reduction of 65 stores year-over-year [40] - Free cash flow for the quarter was negative $120 million, impacted by higher capital spending and inventory growth to meet consumer demand [39][40] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the impacts of new athletic brand relationships on Q1 comps? - Management noted that existing brands drove the comp, but new brands like HOKA and Saucony had a positive impact, validating Journeys' position in lifestyle running [50][51] Question: How did the vulcanized product category perform? - Management acknowledged pressure on vulcanized products but stated that strength in other brands offset this pressure [53][54] Question: What are the expectations for Journeys in the back half of the year? - Management indicated that while they are lapping more difficult comparisons, they are optimistic about serving a broader market and continuing to strengthen product leadership [67][70] Question: How does the company view recent M&A activity in the footwear landscape? - Management expressed confidence in their positioning, focusing on lifestyle-driven offerings for the teen market, which differs from the performance-focused M&A activity [78][79] Question: What are the expectations regarding gross margins and price increases? - Management discussed the shift towards athletic products impacting margins but emphasized that they do not expect to absorb gross margin reductions due to tariffs [80][81]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported total revenue of $474 million for Q1 2026, an increase of approximately 4% year-over-year, driven by a 5% growth in comparable sales, marking the third consecutive quarter of positive comps [30][31] - Adjusted gross margin for the quarter was 46.7%, a decline of 90 basis points compared to the previous year, primarily due to a shift towards higher price point but lower margin products [32] - SG&A expenses were 52.5% of sales, improving by 170 basis points year-over-year, driven by reduced occupancy and bonus expenses along with cost-saving initiatives [33] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Journeys led the business with comparable sales up 8%, while Schuh saw a 1% increase, and Johnston and Murphy experienced a 2% decline in comps [30][31] - Journeys' strong performance was attributed to a strategic focus on product assortment and brand partnerships, resulting in double-digit gains across several brands [14][23] - Schuh's comps increased due to improved brand access and digital capabilities, with over 40% of sales coming from e-commerce [18] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The consumer environment remains choppy, with consumers showing willingness to shop during key events but retreating during quieter periods [5][28] - The UK consumer market is under pressure, impacting Schuh's performance, while Johnston and Murphy faced challenges in factory store traffic [19][28] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on diversifying its product offerings and strengthening its brand partnerships, particularly in the athletic category, to capture a broader teen market [22][23] - The strategic growth plan for Journeys includes enhancing product assortment, elevating customer experience through new store designs, and increasing brand awareness through marketing initiatives [26][68] - The company is actively mitigating tariff impacts by diversifying suppliers and adjusting inventory strategies [12][11] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in navigating the current trade environment and emphasized the importance of compelling footwear and freshness to drive consumer purchases [7][10] - The company reiterated its full-year EPS guidance of $1.3 to $1.7, acknowledging ongoing macroeconomic uncertainties and the impact of tariffs [38][39] - Management expects positive comps for Journeys in Q2, despite challenges in other business segments [56][58] Other Important Information - The company ended the quarter with a negative free cash flow of $120 million, attributed to higher capital spending and inventory growth to meet consumer demand [36][37] - The company repurchased approximately 605,000 shares during the quarter, representing about 5% of its outstanding shares [37] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you talk about the impacts of new athletic brand relationships on Q1 comp? - Management noted that existing brands drove the comp, but new brands like HOKA and Saucony had a positive impact, validating Journeys' position in lifestyle running [46][48] Question: How did vulcanized product trends compare to expectations? - Management acknowledged pressure on vulcanized products but stated that strength in other brands offset this pressure [50][51] Question: What is the guidance for Journeys in Q2? - Management indicated that Journeys is tracking similarly to Q1, with expectations for a positive comp, despite challenges in other segments [56][58] Question: What are the drivers for Journeys in the back half of the year? - Management highlighted the focus on product assortment, store remodels, and marketing initiatives as key drivers for growth [60][68] Question: How does the company view recent M&A activity in the footwear landscape? - Management stated that the company is positioned differently from competitors focused on performance athletic, emphasizing lifestyle and style-driven strategies [77][78] Question: What are the impacts on gross margin and balancing price increases? - Management explained that the shift to athletic products has affected margins, but they are working with brand partners to manage costs and maintain profitability [79][80]

Company Performance - Genesco reported a quarterly loss of $2.05 per share, slightly better than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of $2.09, and an improvement from a loss of $2.10 per share a year ago, indicating an earnings surprise of 1.91% [1] - The company posted revenues of $473.97 million for the quarter ended April 2025, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 2.33% and showing an increase from year-ago revenues of $457.6 million [2] - Over the last four quarters, Genesco has exceeded consensus EPS estimates three times and topped consensus revenue estimates three times as well [2] Stock Outlook - Genesco shares have declined approximately 47.7% since the beginning of the year, contrasting with the S&P 500's gain of 1.5% [3] - The current consensus EPS estimate for the upcoming quarter is -$0.81 on revenues of $531.05 million, while for the current fiscal year, the estimate is $1.47 on revenues of $2.34 billion [7] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, to which Genesco belongs, is currently ranked in the bottom 35% of over 250 Zacks industries, suggesting potential challenges ahead [8] - Empirical research indicates a strong correlation between near-term stock movements and trends in earnings estimate revisions, which could impact Genesco's stock performance [5]

Financial Performance - Sales reached $474 million, a 4% increase compared to Q1 FY2025, with e-commerce accounting for 23% of retail sales[8] - GAAP EPS improved by $0.20 compared to Q1 FY2025, while Non-GAAP EPS improved by $0.05[8] - Gross margin decreased by 60 basis points compared to Q1 FY2025, with Non-GAAP gross margin down by 90 basis points[8] - SG&A expenses were $249 million, representing 52.5% of sales, a leverage of 170 basis points compared to Q1 FY2025[8] - Comparable sales increased by 5%, with stores up mid-single digits and e-commerce up high single digits[9] Segment Performance - Journeys' comparable sales increased by 8%[9] - Wholesale channel experienced a growth of 5%[9] - Journeys accounted for 58% of Q1 FY26 net sales[54] - Schuh accounted for 20% of Q1 FY26 net sales[54] - Johnston & Murphy Group accounted for 16% of Q1 FY26 net sales[54] - Genesco Brands Group accounted for 6% of Q1 FY26 net sales[54] Outlook - The company reiterates its full-year EPS outlook of $1.30 to $1.70, inclusive of current tariffs[9, 59]

Financial Performance - Net sales for Q1 FY26 were $474 million, a 4% increase compared to $458 million in Q1 FY25[6] - Comparable sales increased by 5%, with e-commerce sales up 7% and same-store sales up 5%[4] - GAAP EPS was ($2.02) and Non-GAAP EPS was ($2.05), compared to GAAP EPS of ($2.22) and Non-GAAP EPS of ($2.10) in the previous year[4] - Net sales for Q1 2025 were $473.973 million, a 3.0% increase from $457.597 million in Q1 2024[25] - Operating loss for Q1 2025 was $28.145 million, an improvement from a loss of $32.128 million in Q1 2024[25] - Net loss for Q1 2025 was $21.227 million, compared to a net loss of $24.347 million in Q1 2024, resulting in a basic loss per share of $2.02[25] Store Operations - The company opened 4 stores and closed 26 stores, ending the quarter with 1,256 stores, a 5% decrease from the previous year[15] - The company closed 26 stores in Q1 2025, resulting in a total of 1,256 retail stores[31] Margins and Expenses - Gross margin for Q1 FY26 was 46.7%, down from 47.3% in Q1 FY25, primarily due to changes in brand mix and promotional activity[9] - Selling and administrative expenses decreased by 170 basis points to 52.5% of sales compared to the previous year[10] - Gross margin decreased to 46.7% in Q1 2025 from 47.3% in Q1 2024, with a gross margin charge of $1.6 million related to a distribution model transition[25] - Reported gross margin for Q1 2025 was $221.181 million, representing 46.7% of sales, compared to $216.281 million and 47.3% in Q1 2024[40] - Adjusted gross margin for Q1 2025 was $221.181 million, or 46.7% of sales, down from $217.862 million and 47.6% in Q1 2024[40] Debt and Assets - Total debt increased to $121 million, up from $59.4 million year-over-year, primarily due to a 15% increase in inventories[14] - Total current assets increased to $633.314 million in Q1 2025 from $508.040 million in Q1 2024[29] - Total assets grew to $1.404591 billion in Q1 2025, compared to $1.307417 billion in Q1 2024[29] Future Projections - The company expects adjusted diluted EPS for FY26 to be in the range of $1.30 to $1.70, factoring in current tariffs[5] - Forecasted earnings from continuing operations for Fiscal 2026 range from $12.5 million ($1.17 per share) to $17.0 million ($1.61 per share) net of tax[42] - Adjusted forecasted earnings from continuing operations for Fiscal 2026 are estimated at $13.8 million ($1.30 per share) to $18.0 million ($1.70 per share) net of tax[42] - The forecasted tax rate for Fiscal 2026 is approximately 29%[42] - The share count for Fiscal 2026 reflects 10.6 million shares, including common stock equivalents[42] Share Repurchase - The company repurchased 604,531 shares for $12.6 million during the quarter, with $29.8 million remaining on its share repurchase authorization[16] Tax Rate - The effective tax rate for Q1 FY26 was 28.5%, compared to 26.7% in the same quarter last year[12]

Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates Genesco (GCO) will report a year-over-year decline in earnings despite an increase in revenues for the quarter ended April 2025, with actual results being crucial for stock price movement [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Genesco is expected to report a quarterly loss of $2.14 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -1.9%, while revenues are projected to be $463.91 million, up 1.4% from the previous year [3]. - The consensus EPS estimate has been revised down by 7.74% over the last 30 days, indicating a reassessment by analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model indicates that Genesco's Most Accurate Estimate is lower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of -2.80%, suggesting a bearish outlook from analysts [12]. - Despite the negative Earnings ESP, Genesco holds a Zacks Rank of 2, complicating predictions of an earnings beat [12]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Genesco was expected to post earnings of $3.31 per share but delivered $3.26, resulting in a surprise of -1.51% [13]. - Over the past four quarters, Genesco has beaten consensus EPS estimates three times [14]. Market Reaction Factors - An earnings beat or miss may not solely dictate stock price movement, as other factors can influence investor sentiment [15]. - Betting on stocks expected to beat earnings expectations can increase the odds of success, making it important to check Earnings ESP and Zacks Rank before quarterly releases [16].

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