Core Insights - Meituan's Q1 2025 financial results exceeded expectations, with revenue of 86.56 billion (+18.1%), operating profit of 10.57 billion (+102.8%), and adjusted net profit of 10.95 billion (+46.2%) [1] - The company maintains a strong outlook on its domestic core business barriers and growth potential, while also exploring new growth opportunities in overseas markets [1][3] Revenue Growth and Core Business Performance - Q1 revenue growth was driven by the local commerce segment, which generated 64.32 billion (+17.8%) in revenue and an operating profit of 13.49 billion (+39.1%) [1] - New business revenue reached 22.23 billion (+19.2%), although it reported an operating loss of 2.27 billion [1] Delivery and Flash Purchase Insights - In Q1, the average daily order volume for food delivery showed steady growth, supported by improved advertising monetization and subsidy efficiency, leading to a significant increase in operating profit margin (OPM) [2] - Flash purchase segment maintained rapid growth in order volume, achieving an OPM of approximately 10% driven by advertising and subsidy improvements [2] Store and Offline Business Performance - The in-store segment saw a revenue increase to approximately 15.1 billion (+20%), with a stable OPM, driven by growth in various new scenarios [2] - Q2 expectations indicate a slight slowdown in growth for the in-store segment due to competition and seasonal factors [2] New Business Expansion - Keeta is set to enter the Brazilian market, with plans to invest 1 billion USD over the next five years following a strategic cooperation agreement [3] - Despite the anticipated growth in new business revenue driven by Keeta, overall losses are expected to widen [3] Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve a core business operating profit of 53.2 billion for 2025, with an estimated net profit of 45.3 billion, leading to a target price of 156 HKD based on a 20x PE ratio [3]
美团-W(03690.HK):竞争扰动不改公司长期竞争力与投资价值