MEITUAN(03690) 格隆汇·2025-05-28 18:34Core Viewpoint - The company's Q1 2025 financial performance exceeded market expectations, with significant growth in core local business and new business revenues [1] Group 1: Overall Performance - Q1 2025 revenue reached 86.6 billion yuan, representing a year-over-year increase of 18% but a quarter-over-quarter decrease of 2% [1] - Operating profit for Q1 2025 was 10.6 billion yuan, up 103% year-over-year and 58% quarter-over-quarter [1] - Net profit for Q1 2025 was 10.1 billion yuan, reflecting an 87% year-over-year increase and a 62% quarter-over-quarter increase [1] - Non-GAAP EBITDA for Q1 2025 was 12.3 billion yuan, a 52% year-over-year increase and a 7% quarter-over-quarter increase [1] - Non-GAAP net profit attributable to shareholders was 10.9 billion yuan, up 46% year-over-year and 11% quarter-over-quarter [1] Group 2: Core Local Business - Core local business revenue grew 18% year-over-year to 64.3 billion yuan, driven by increased transaction volume and reduced subsidy deductions [2] - Operating profit for core local business increased 39% year-over-year to 13.5 billion yuan, surpassing Bloomberg's consensus estimate of 12.2 billion yuan [2] - The company anticipates a slowdown in revenue growth for Q2 2025 due to intensified industry competition [2] Group 3: Business Segments - Food Delivery Business: Q1 2025 food delivery orders increased by 9.3% year-over-year, with over 480 brands launching more than 3,000 high-quality satellite stores [2] - Meituan Flash Purchase: Q1 2025 saw strong growth in flash purchase business, with over 500 million cumulative transaction users and daily order volume exceeding 18 million [3] - In-store Travel Business: Q1 2025 in-store travel revenue grew 20% year-over-year, with active merchants increasing by over 25% [3] Group 4: New Business and International Expansion - New business revenue grew 19% year-over-year to 22.2 billion yuan, with operating losses narrowing to 2.3 billion yuan [4] - Keeta has become the largest food delivery platform in Hong Kong and is expanding into Saudi Arabia and Brazil, with a commitment to invest 1 billion USD over five years [4] Group 5: Profit Forecast and Valuation - Long-term outlook remains positive for the company's core competencies in instant delivery and international expansion, despite increased competition [5] - Revenue forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 387.3 billion, 447.7 billion, and 510.6 billion yuan respectively, with Non-GAAP net profit estimates of 40.9 billion, 54.7 billion, and 67.6 billion yuan [5] - The target market capitalization for 2025 is set at 830.2 billion yuan, with a target price of 136 yuan per share [5]