Core Insights - The national land sales revenue for the first four months of 2025 reached 934 billion, a 56% decrease compared to the same period in 2021 [1] - Major cities like Beijing and Hangzhou are experiencing a reversal in trends, with Hangzhou's land sales increasing by 40% to 59.6 billion in Q1 2025, and Chengdu seeing a staggering 543% increase [3][4] - The strategy of "hunger marketing" is being adopted by local governments, focusing on selling fewer but higher-quality land parcels, leading to increased revenue despite reduced supply [3][4] Land Market Dynamics - Developers are now prioritizing core cities, with high demand for premium land in areas with good schools and transportation, as seen in Beijing's Haidian district where land prices reached 78,400 per square meter [4] - Non-core areas are becoming less attractive, with frequent land auctions resulting in unsold parcels, indicating a shift in developer focus [4][5] Housing Market Trends - The introduction of the 2025 Residential Project Standards will phase out high-rise buildings, making low-density housing the new norm, further concentrating demand in core urban areas [5] - The new housing market is experiencing a stark divide, with new homes either offering exceptional quality or extreme cost-effectiveness, while the second-hand market struggles with declining values [6][7] Implications for Homeowners - Homeowners in non-core cities face significant challenges, with many forced to sell at steep discounts, reflecting a broader trend of population outflow and economic stagnation [7][8] - The market is pushing ordinary buyers towards core cities, emphasizing the importance of location and quality in property investment decisions [9][10] Conclusion - The land market's transformation reflects a broader competition among cities, where the quality of urban offerings is becoming paramount, and developers must adapt to this new reality to remain viable [10]
56%暴跌后，土地市场变天：重点城市吃肉，非重点城市喝汤？
Sou Hu Cai Jing·2025-05-29 00:14